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quinta-feira, 16 de abril de 2026

Zionism is a settler colonialist project called Jewish Colonial Trust

 




For decades Israel pretended to be an innocent country established after the horrors of the holocaust for the protection of the Jews. 

Turns out, it was all a lie. 

The zionist project is much older and has little to do with the wishes of the Jews when it was established. 

Inherently a christian doctrine, Zionism was always a plan to resettle the jews of Europe even against their will and to dominate West Asia in the process. 

Today, prof. Jeffrey Sachs and prof. Yakov Rabkin are discussing the past and the future of a racist settler-colonial political project that has become so violent in the past decade that the entire world now sees it for what it is. 
An irredeemable political fascism.



The Zionist leaders, most famously Herzel, were nationalist and secular. 
They were propounding at that stage a nationalist cause that each nation to protect itself had to have its nation state. That was the idea of nationalism.

American ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabe, said a few weeks ago just before the current war of aggression of Israel and the US that, Israel owns all the land, has the right to all the land from the Nile to the Euphrates. Based on that there's a a sense that in our world Israel should has the right to all of this land.
Israel's acting on that because part of the Israeli government is Jewish biblical Zionism, now which was not the Zionism of a 100red years ago.

The rabbis said no.
They say that Tora says: 
Live where you are, obey God's commandments, behave. 

So this Zionist movement was not what it is portrayed today as the great cause of the Jewish people. 

Anti-semites want to get rid of the Jews wherever they happen to live, and Zionists want to bring them to Palestine.
Their interests combine and it's not a coincidence that during the 1930s in Germany Zionist established very much a cooperation with the Nazi authorities who wanted to get rid of the Jews and the Zionists were trying to show that Palestine was a good place for Jews to go. 

There was an episode which I think is very important as an Israeli film called Flat and it shows well it's the story is about a SS official in 1935 visiting Palestine in the company of the chairman of the Zionist Federation of Germany and writing wonderful articles in the SS newspaper and on the occasion of that visit a medal was coined with a swastika on one side and the Zionist symbol of the six shaped star on the other. 
So it's part of history. We have a lot of evidence.


If 100 years ago someone said to a Jew you don't belong here you belong to Israel, he would be considered anti-semite. Today, for some strange reason, when someone says well I have nothing to do with Israel I'm American, oh no you're anti-semitic you're denying the right of Jewish people for self-determination.
So you have a very interesting inversion of what anti-semitism is. 

There are 50 million Zionists in the United States.
There are 15 million Jews.

John Mirshimer wrote this very important book about the Jewish lobby.
Who is actually lobbying for Israel? 

The American political system it's an incredibly corrupted system.
Big money, big influence.
What is this Israel Lobby or the Zionist lobby? 
It's it is a actually a mix of a number of things. 
Partly, it's directly the penetration of Israel into US politics because there's a lot of Israeli money and effort. 
Epstein was a Mossad agent, for example, and was definitely an Israeli asset operating in the United States.
And the evidence for that, by the way, is not only the circumstantial evidence that Ahood Barack, who had been the head of military intelligence, was his big buddy, but the fact that Epstein was representing himself all over the world as making deals on behalf of Israel. And if he was freelancing, the Israelis would have stopped him. Believe me, they didn't stop him. So the fact is he was operating at someone's behest.
That's an example of direct Israel influence. 

Then there's big Jewish money and there definitely are Jews that are Zionists and there definitely are billionaires Jews that are Zionists and they put a lot of money into this.

Miriam Naden, who is the widow of Sheldon Adlesen, a big casino magnate, she definitely has influence. It's hundreds of millions of dollars given to Trump. 

Ted Cruz puts influential people into the National Security Council and elsewhere that are basically some are even dual citizens literally Israeli citizens and US citizens handling the Middle East portfolio in the US government. So the US is a very porous politics. It's completely interest group sold to the highest bidder.

Zionism has been moving from the stentatious left because it used to be very socialist, and in the last decades turned to fascist right.
And this has nothing to do with the personalities involved. 
Is a very natural evolution of a political movement which is based on discrimination on ethnic nationalism.

And here it's important to distinguish between ethnic nationalism and civic nationalism because in the system of ethnic nationalism just like in anti-semitism you cannot change your characteristics.
In other words either you belong or you don't belong you cannot change it. 
The violence that we've observed in the Middle East in West Asia for the last 80 years is largely connected with Zionism. Because you have to control the population that is naturally unhappy. You displace it, you exile it, you discriminate, you now submit it to genocide.
Of course, they're not going to be happy. Of course, there will be resistance.
But this resistance is not considered by Israel as legitimate and as logical in a way. 
But they tried to dress it as anti-semitism.
The higher the income of the Jew the more Zionist he's likely to be.

So the evolution of Zionism in the direction of fascism is perfectly predictable and I would say that it certainly is not Bib Natanyao or Smriidge or Beng also very much mentioned in among those who say well how horrible these people are taking Israel in the wrong direction. 
I wouldn't say so. 
I say that they represent their embody that trend towards fascism which had been there from the beginning and then maybe we have to be mindful of time. 

The clean great doctrine says that Greater Israel will control all of Palestine. 
There will never be a Palestinian state. 
But more importantly, even that in response to resistance movements like Hamas or Hezbollah or others, Israel's response will be to overthrow the governments in the Middle East that support those resistance movements. That's Netanyahu's insight.
Don't fight the resistance, fight the governments that back them. 
So, Israel has been on a war spree since 1996.

Wesley Clark famously told us about the seven wars that the US would fight.
These are basically US-Israel wars.
And that list included Libya, Sudan, Somalia, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Iran. 
And here we are.
So this is the logical effect. 
Also, you abuse your colonial settler. You push aside the local population. There's resistance. That resistance has its allies regionally and you end up in regional war. 
And this is the disaster that we're in.

It's important to distinguish between Zionism is a political movement and Jews and Judaism which may be religion or ethnic group whichever way you want to put it because this confusion really serves Israel and Zionism.
Israeli leaders whether they were socialists like Shimon Perez or fascists like Benjamin Netanyahu or anyone else who would come later, will convince you that Israel represents the entire Jewish people and for Israel it's a source of legitimacy. 

For Jews it's a source of shame and insecurity so it's very important to see that Israel not only hasn't brought security to the Jews, that's what the Zionist movement was promising. 
In fact, the most insecure place for a Jew to live today, is Israel.

Strangely enough, not in Tehran because Jews there don't identify with Israel and are very well integrated and accepted. And the anti-zionist government of Iran knows very well how to distinguish between Jews and Zionism.



terça-feira, 14 de abril de 2026

Stephen Kapos – an 88-year-old British-Hungarian Holocaust survivor

 






In this conversation, Mehdi Hasan sits down with Stephen Kapos – an 88-year-old British-Hungarian Holocaust survivor, who was forced to go into hiding at the age of seven, was separated from his mother and father, lost 15 members of his family to the Nazi concentration camps, and witnessed the total destruction of cities during the war. 

Today, Kapos has become one of the most vocal pro-Palestinian voices among Jewish Holocaust survivors.

Mehdi also asks Kapos about those who have cited similarities between, Donald Trump’s fascistic leadership in the US and the leadership of Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel and Nazi Germany in the 1920s and 30s. 
Kapos says it’s “absolutely” a fair comparison.

Watch the full interview where the two discuss 
Kapos’ experience as a Jewish, pro-Palestine activist, his rejection of the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance’s definition of antisemitism, and why he will continue to fight for the children of Gaza.




Rabbi Elhanan Beck

 





Rabbi Elhanan Beck delivers one of the most striking critiques of Zionism and the current Israeli-US wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, you'll hear. 

He argues that, according to the Torah, the state of Israel has no right to exist, and goes further—describing Benjamin Netanyahu as “Amalek,” a force that pulls people away from God.

The Rabbi also claims that if necessary, Israel would use nuclear weapons and that “no price is too high,” even suggesting they would kill millions to secure their goals.

We explore the theology behind these views, including the Messiah, the Temple, and the idea of Greater Israel - alongside his belief in Jewish-Muslim coexistence.




Palestinian journalist Ahmed al-Naouq

 




‘Our problem is not with the Jewish people it’s with occupiers’ 
says Ahmed al-Naouq to Piers Morgan


During an appearance on Piers Morgan Uncensored, Palestinian journalist Ahmed al-Naouq pushed back against Morgan’s claim that 
“Hamas wanted to kill as many Jewish people as they can” on 7 October.

Al-Naouq argued that neither Hamas nor the Palestinian people have an issue with Jewish people, but rather with Israelis.

“This is not a religious war. 
This is a war between colonisation and the colonised — occupiers and the occupied,” he said.




sábado, 11 de abril de 2026

Abby Martin Went To Israel. IT'S WORSE Than You Think

 





The whole world has to isolate this rogue, apartheid, genocidal maniac, serial killing, pathologically lying state. Isolate it. Shame anyone who goes there. Academics, celebrities, politicians, and they've been exposed for what they are. 

And Zionism is on its last leg. It only exists by the weight of its propaganda. And that propaganda is collapsed entirely. The world sees Israel for what it is, and it can't last for long in its current state. You cannot expect change in a society this far gone. It is fullthroated fascist.

And that's why they act the way they do with full total impunity because they have no humanity left. This is a society far gone with protection of a military empire with hatred in their hearts. And we're seeing essentially the fourth Reich today marching forward. 

And there's no Allied forces coming to save us. The Israeli Knesset just passed a law allowing the execution of Palestinian prisoners, but not Israelis.

This is the true face of apartheid Israel. 
But this is nothing new. 
I saw this firsthand when I was in Israel back in 2016. Fullthroated fascism.

"You can't deal with these people.
There's no need to try. There's no need to talk to them. 
There's only one way. Like I would carpet bomb them. 
You would carpet bomb them?
It's the only It's the only way you could deal with it."

I didn't realize this. 
I didn't realize how viscerally, grotesquesly genocidal Israelis were, how openly fascist they would be to anyone.

"Jews shouldn't marry Arabs.
Shouldn't marry Arabs. 
Why do you feel strongly about that?
Because Jews is a special nation that God gave it to the Jews. We don't want the Arabs to be here." 

They knew that they were on camera.
That's what's so alarming to me, too. I wasn't trying to hide. I wasn't doing gotcha journalism. I was going up with a camera and saying generally what do you think about the situation?

"I think Israelis have to take over and they have to kick them away."

I was so horrified and alarmed at the genocidal rhetoric that was being espoused. Every single person for every generation, every walk of life, they wanted ethnic cleansing. They said we should nuke them. One little girl laughing. We should kill all Arabs. Kill all Arabs.

"We need to kill Arabies." [laughter]

It shows you the impunity back then. The arrogance to just assume this is what you guys think too, right? You're an American. You agree with me. You guys have been doing the same thing. This is who we are. We're proud racists. We're proudly fascist. 

I felt like I was walking into Berlin in 1932. 
I really felt absolutely disgusted. 
I just couldn't believe what I was hearing. 
I mean, just walking a couple steps and as white as I am, are you Arab? Are you Arab? And I'm like, what? I'm an American. 
Oh, good. We can talk about Arabs then. We can talk about how much we hate Palestinians. 

I saw the writing on the wall back then. I saw that there's no hope from within Israeli society. I went to rallies where they were calling to kick all the refugees out. You know, these were things that were told Israel is a safe haven for Holocaust survivors, for genocide survivors. 

Well, why are all the African refugees put out in the middle of the Negeb Desert into a concentration camp? Why don't they want any African refugees there? 
They tokenize Ethiopian refugees, but then they make them take depriva birth control because they don't want them to reproduce. 

This is the nature of Israeli society. 
It's an ethnostate and it's built on supremacy and hate because that's what Zionism is.
How many civilians have been killed in Gaza from what you know?
You have to continue to expel. 
You have to continue to kill to keep that artificial majority in place.

"If you gave me a button to just erase Gaza, every single living being in Gaza would no longer be living tomorrow. I would press it in a second. I would press it right now. Give me that button and press it right now." 

There you go.
And I think most Israelis would during the Gaza genocide to see people just proclaim out in the open the genocidal incitement.
It's an entire nation out there that is responsible.
It was heinous and horrifying, but finally people saw Israel for what it is. It's all been exposed. They're not hiding anymore.

Israel's propaganda is not working anymore because for the first time, Palestinians have been able to just show us the unvarnished truth of the reality that they endure on a daily basis. We see the settler terrorism. We see the people getting mowed down for doing nothing. We see the crimes every single day. You cannot hide genocide from us.
So, the propaganda has become cartoonish.

"I'm very puzzled by the constant concern which the world is showing for the Palestinian people and is actually showing for these horrible inhuman animals. It's inverted just everything that we know to be true. Black is white, up is down. It's the most moral army in the world. We're a benevolent empire spreading human rights and democracy."

Who the hell believes this anymore? 
So, it's become silly. It's become absurd.
The Israelis today saying that Hamas use Palestinians as human shields. 
Do they killing the victims then blaming the victims for killing themselves? 
I mean, what is this logic?
They infantilize us. They treat us like children.
This is a genocide happening in front of our eyes.
We have that word is, as you know, incredibly emotive. And the Israelis, as you know, will be saying that they are targeting Hamas only.

It's become so obvious that we're being dictated to that our reality is curated by tech overlords who are profiting off the infrastructure of genocide, of the surveillance of our lives. All of these things are interconnected. So, the propaganda doesn't work anymore. It's too infantilizing and stupid.

One day after describing it as a tragic mishap, Israel has now claimed a deadly double strike on a Gaza hospital was prompted by the discovery of a Hamas camera.
A Hamas camera is why they blow up journalists at a hospital because they have a camera that was belonged to Hamas. I mean, it just makes corporate media journalists and establishment journalists look like buffoons, doesn't it? For towing this absurd propaganda that's so hollowed out and childlike.
They should be ashamed of themselves.

We have some really disturbing new information out of Israel. 
The Israeli prime minister spokesman just confirmed. 
Babies and toddlers were found with their heads decapitated.

There's no excuse whatsoever. 
They are complicit in this. 
But you see Israel buying up media outlets. 
But we have to fight with the weapons that apply to the battlefields in which we're engaged. And the most important ones are the social media. And the most important purchase that is going on right now is class Tik Tok. Tik Tok. Number one.

Do you see Israeli billionaires trying to tamp down on the narrative? 
They're desperate. 
They're desperate because they know that's the only way they'll survive is to try to convince the world of the opposite of what we're all seeing. 
So that's why you see these desperate, pathetic influencers just spewing lies.

I'm here in Gaza and all I see is food, water, and opportunity. 
But instead of Hamas distributing the ramen noodles, they're eating it all. 
And that's why their leaders are on OMPic because that's all they have left. 
They don't have anything anymore. 
But it's too late. 

We're never going to forget what it looks like when Palestinians hold their children in plastic bags. 
No one can forget that. 
I'm never going to forget the sound of a drone emitting a crying baby so it can massacre children who come out of their homes and get lured like a cat and mouse. 
No one's going to forget that. 
No one's going to forget what it looks like in Gaza today. 
You can't wash that away.
You can't paper over that with degenerate propaganda base level lies.

No one's going to paper over the unvarnished truth of what we've all witnessed for years now.




sábado, 7 de março de 2026

Institutional Narcissism After the Collapse


Maizal 
 



What happens when the image breaks, 
how reality returns, and 
the checklist that helps you 
name what you lived




Part I. The Collapse of the Image
Every system built on denial eventually reaches a point where its defenses become heavier than the truth they were designed to suppress. The rituals of order continue, but the vitality drains out of them. Reports are filed, meetings are held, slogans are repeated, yet something essential has gone missing. The language no longer carries conviction. The same sentences that once soothed anxiety now echo with fatigue.

This is the beginning of collapse, though at first it looks less like disaster and more like exhaustion.

Collapse in narcissistic systems is rarely a single event. It is a slow unraveling of coherence. 
One department stops communicating with another. Promises made in one room are contradicted in another. The moral vocabulary that once bound people together begins to sound foreign, even to those who speak it. The institution becomes a collection of gestures without a unifying center, a body that continues to move while its inner meaning has already departed.

What remains is repetition.

The group recites its values like a prayer to a god it no longer believes in, hoping that if the words are spoken often enough, meaning will return. Trainings are scheduled. Frameworks are introduced. New language appears in emails. There is constant motion, yet the motion does not lead to truth. It leads to maintenance.

In psychoanalytic terms, this stage resembles the collapse of the false self. The mask that was built to protect vulnerability begins to suffocate it instead. Reality presses inward. The very strategies that once prevented shame now generate it in abundance. The more the system tries to assert its purity, the more its contradictions show through. Leadership shuffles titles. Committees are reorganized. Statements are issued about learning and renewal. But the underlying wound remains untouched, because the wound is not procedural.

It is moral.

From the perspective of organizational psychology, collapse follows the depletion of emotional capital. People who once believed in the mission no longer do. The loyal become cynical. The idealistic become numb. Turnover rises, morale sinks, and those who remain do so out of necessity rather than conviction. The collective nervous system stays locked in chronic stress. Like a traumatized body, the organization has learned to survive by suppression rather than adaptation. It oscillates between frantic activity and frozen avoidance, confusing motion with progress.

And still, even in this phase, the institution remains obsessed with appearances. It projects confidence outward while decaying inward. It sponsors awards, campaigns, conferences. It celebrates its values in public as though recognition from the outside could substitute for integrity within. Yet the public face grows brittle. People begin to notice the strain. Whispers emerge about contradictions between words and actions. The carefully curated image starts to falter, not because the institution chose honesty, but because the performance has become too heavy to sustain.

At this stage, the defenders of the old image often double their efforts. They release new statements. They announce visionary reforms. They promise a new era. But repetition cannot replace repair. What the institution needs is confession, and confession is the one act it cannot perform without surrendering the identity it has been protecting.

So it clings to performance even as the audience disperses.

Collapse is not always visible from the outside. It can look like stability. 
Budgets are balanced. Reports are filed. The organization continues to function. Yet inside there is silence where vitality used to live. People speak of doing their jobs, but no longer of meaning. A culture that once prided itself on purpose becomes an empty form repeating gestures it cannot feel.

The structure survives.

The spirit does not.

For those inside, this stage often brings a specific kind of grief. It is not only disappointment in leadership. It is the loss of a belief. For years the system bound its identity to a story of moral goodness. When that story finally breaks, the void it reveals can feel unbearable. Some awaken and leave quietly. Others stay, hoping loyalty might restore coherence. But the truth, once seen, cannot be unseen.

What collapses is not only the image.

What collapses is the belief that the image was ever real.

And when that belief breaks, something new becomes possible. Not immediately. Not cleanly. But inevitably.

Reality begins to return.



Part II. The Recovery of Reality
Every collapse carries within it a possibility, faint at first, that the fragments can be reassembled into something true. Yet recovery does not begin with policy. It does not begin with new slogans, trainings, or reorganizations. It begins with a quieter shift, the slow return of perception. After years of living inside performance, people must relearn how to see.

The first step is not improvement. It is recognition.

Those who have lived through institutional decay know that truth does not return as triumph. It returns as grief. Recovery begins as mourning, the gradual acceptance that the image once defended was never alive in the way it claimed to be. Many people resist this stage because it feels like failure. In reality it is the beginning of clarity. The mind stops bargaining with appearances. The nervous system stops waiting for the next committee to become conscience. Something inside finally says, “This is what it is.”

That sentence is the first act of repair.

This is also why genuine renewal feels so different from public gestures that often use the word. Real repair cannot occur while denial is still treated as loyalty. Recovery begins when people who have stopped pretending speak to one another without rehearsing. Not to strategize, not to win. Simply to tell the truth.

They speak of the years they felt unseen. Of the words they swallowed. Of the moral injuries they absorbed to survive. They name the subtle humiliations, the silences, the fear disguised as professionalism. Each act of honesty restores a small piece of reality. It is ordinary, and yet it feels radical, because it breaks the trance.

Psychologically, this stage resembles post traumatic integration. A body that has lived too long in vigilance must relearn rest. A mind that has equated silence with safety must relearn speech. The same is true for workplaces that have lived in chronic image management. Their collective nervous system is exhausted. People need time to rediscover what it feels like to speak without calculation, to listen without suspicion, to disagree without punishment. This is not a procedural change. It is a relational rewiring.

There is also a moral requirement that cannot be bypassed. Recovery demands responsibility. Not the kind that is performed in statements, but the kind that shows up in contact. To rebuild on truth requires the courage to name what was lost and who was harmed. It requires allowing guilt to do the work that shame prevented.

Shame insists on disguise. Guilt invites repair.

In recovering systems, the first confessions often sound hesitant. They are spoken by people who still expect retaliation. But when those truths are met with steadiness rather than punishment, a different atmosphere begins to form. It is not grand. It is quiet. It feels almost sacred in its ordinariness. It is the atmosphere of reality returning.

Leadership, if it still exists in any meaningful form, must also change character. Its task is no longer to defend an image. Its task is to create conditions in which truth is not dangerous. That requires language stripped of grandeur. It requires fewer slogans and more sentences that can withstand scrutiny. It requires presence rather than messaging. Many organizations cannot do this because the old identity was built on appearing flawless. But where it does happen, the shift is unmistakable. People begin to trust their own perception again. They stop translating harm into politeness. They begin to name things as they are.

From a neuroscientific view, this stage resembles the reactivation of integrative networks. After long periods of suppression, the capacities for empathy, reflection, and moral reasoning begin to reengage. People start to connect the fragments of what happened. They see not only the events but the pattern. That understanding changes everything, because pattern recognition breaks the spell of self blame.

Where there was reactivity there is now reflection. 
Where there was paralysis there is now movement guided by conscience.

Recovery of reality is not a return to innocence. It is movement into maturity. The illusion of perfection is gone, replaced by a deeper knowledge: truth is not fragile, and integrity is not an aesthetic. It is a discipline. Those who have lived through corruption become the keepers of this knowledge. They understand that transparency is protected not by policies alone, but by people who refuse to forget what it cost to lose it.

When reality returns, the organization may never again look as confident as it once did. It may become smaller, quieter, less impressive. But it becomes more alive. Meetings are fewer but more honest. Words regain meaning. Disagreement becomes possible without exile. People no longer have to split themselves to survive.

This is what healing looks like in systems as in souls. Not the absence of conflict, but the presence of conscience.

And when conscience returns, something else returns with it.

Time.

Space.

Breath.

The recovery of reality is not the end of the story. It is the moment the story begins again, without illusion.


Part III. The Slow Return of Conscience
Every structure that forgets its purpose eventually confronts the silence it created. When denial no longer works and performance has exhausted itself, what remains is the quiet sound of truth settling back into place. A narcissistic institution, once so sure of its righteousness, discovers that no ritual can outlast reality. Paper can record every virtue, but it cannot animate it. Committees can debate ethics, but they cannot manufacture conscience.

In the end, what redeems any institution is the same force that redeems a human life: the willingness to face what has been denied and to live with it openly.

This is why collapse should never be mistaken for the end. It is often the beginning of moral awakening. The tremor that once felt like danger is frequently the first sign of life returning. When an organization finally allows itself to feel what it has numbed, when it stops confusing procedure for morality, it takes its first breath as something real.

Conscience does not return as a public announcement. It returns in small moments that do not look heroic.

It returns when someone stops editing their own perception to match the room. It returns when a supervisor chooses the truthful sentence over the convenient one. It returns when a colleague listens without correcting, without reframing, without translating harm into interpersonal misunderstanding. It returns when people refuse to make the truth teller the problem.

This return is slow because it requires undoing a culture of fear. In systems shaped by institutional narcissism, people learn that clarity is punished. They learn that naming contradiction makes you unsafe. They learn to speak in careful language and protect themselves through vagueness. 
When the collapse breaks the spell, those habits do not vanish overnight. The nervous system needs proof that truth will not be met with retaliation.

This is why the early stages of repair feel fragile. People test the air. They speak cautiously. They pause. They watch faces. They wait for consequences. Many have been trained to equate honesty with danger, so honesty arrives with trembling. The return of conscience is therefore also the return of trust, and trust is rebuilt through repetition. One truthful conversation that does not lead to punishment. One accountability moment that does not become theater. One real apology that does not redirect blame.

There is a difference between reputational apology and moral apology, and survivors recognize it instantly.

Reputational apology is administrative. It is designed to protect the institution. It appears in the language of learning, growth, and moving forward. It avoids naming harm. It avoids naming the harmed. It avoids naming responsibility. 
Moral apology is simpler. It is specific. It is relational. It does not ask the injured to carry the institution’s discomfort. It does not require the truth teller to be diplomatic about their own injury. It does not rush to closure.

Conscience returns when leadership stops performing innocence and begins tolerating responsibility.

This does not mean punishment campaigns or public humiliation. 
  • It means reality based naming. 
  • It means admitting what was protected and what was sacrificed. 
  • It means acknowledging that the system used process to erase truth, and that it did so because image mattered more than integrity. 
  • It means restoring what can be restored and telling the truth about what cannot.

For many organizations, this is the point they cannot reach, because their identity is built on moral perfection. 
But for the people inside, conscience can still return even when the institution refuses it. 
  1. It returns in the ones who stop gaslighting themselves. 
  2. It returns in those who decide that belonging is not worth self betrayal. 
  3. It returns in the quiet courage of choosing coherence over compliance.

This is also the hidden gift of surviving institutional narcissism. 
  • It teaches a specific form of discernment. 
  • It teaches you the difference between polished language and living ethics. 
  • It teaches you that safety is not a poster. It is behavior. It is proximity. It is accountability that does not need a branding team.

When conscience returns, it changes what people will tolerate. It shifts the internal compass. It makes certain rooms unlivable, not because the survivor is fragile, but because they are no longer willing to participate in unreality. Some will leave. Some will stay and quietly build islands of integrity. Some will speak more openly because the collapse has already revealed the truth that was once forbidden.

In all cases, something crucial happens.

The person who once felt isolated begins to feel real again.

That is the slow return of conscience. 
Not a grand restoration of trust in institutions, but the restoration of trust in perception. Not the return of the old story, but the birth of a new one that does not require denial.

It is the moment when survivors of a system finally understand that clarity was never the problem.

Clarity was the beginning of healing.


Part IV. How to Recognize Institutional Narcissism
Institutional narcissism is not a slogan. It is a pattern of defense. 
It is what happens when a system becomes more devoted to its image than to reality. Many people sense this distortion long before they can name it. 

The markers below translate that felt experience into language:

1) Image is treated as more important than reality
Success is measured by appearances. Data is curated to confirm goodness. Language is softened until it no longer describes what is happening. Reputation becomes the highest moral principle.

2) Virtue becomes camouflage
Words like integrity, inclusion, safety, and compassion are displayed prominently, but they often function as substitutes for ethical practice. Morality becomes branding.

3) Punishment hides inside “process”
When someone raises a concern, the response arrives as procedure. Meetings, evaluations, and investigations appear neutral, but they reliably redirect blame toward the person who noticed the problem.

4) Compassion is performed without contact
The institution speaks fluently about care, but avoids proximity to suffering. Support is delivered through statements, frameworks, and referrals rather than presence and accountability.

5) Dissent is pathologized
Disagreement is treated as instability. The truth teller is labeled difficult, negative, emotionally reactive, or not aligned. The system projects its anxiety onto the person who names reality.

6) Reform happens without transformation
After exposure, there are trainings, reorganizations, and new language. The same hierarchy returns with new titles. Motion substitutes for repair.

7) Loyalty is rewarded more than integrity
Advancement depends on affirmation, not insight. Those who mirror the dominant narrative rise quickly. Those who ask precise questions are quietly removed or contained.

8) Fear is wrapped in politeness
There is little overt hostility, yet everyone knows what cannot be said. Meetings feel rehearsed. Conversations shrink. Words like team or family are used to discourage honesty.

9) Remorse is absent, even when apologies appear
Statements are issued without emotional presence. The focus shifts to lessons learned rather than responsibility. The goal is closure, not repair.

10) Truth is tolerated only after it is reframed
Facts that challenge the institution’s self image are translated into flattering language. Failures become learning opportunities. Discrimination becomes miscommunication. Ethical concerns become growth areas. Reality is accepted only after it has been made safe for the brand.

If you recognize these patterns, your clarity is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition. 
The system may still function, but functioning is not the same as health.

 

Closing
I want to be explicit about something. 
The arc I described in this essay is not guaranteed. 
Collapse does not automatically produce conscience. Some systems harden. Some reorganize the same denial under new language. Some punish the truth so effectively that the illusion survives for years.

What I am naming is not a promise. It is one real pathway of healing, and one standard of health.

And yet I still believe in this pathway, not because I am naive, but because I know what happens when societies normalize unreality. Right now, in the United States, trust is fragile and polarized, and many people feel that public life is more performance than truth. When a culture loses the ability to agree on basic facts, narcissistic dynamics stop being an organizational problem and become a national one.

My hope is simple. 
That we choose consciousness over propaganda. 
That we choose conscience over loyalty tests. 
That we choose truth over silence.

Not perfectly. Not all at once. But enough to keep reality alive.

This is the country I truly love. And that love is exactly why I refuse to romanticize denial, whether it appears in a workplace, a government, or a nation. 

Hope is not pretending things are fine. 
Hope is protecting the conditions where truth can be spoken without exile.



Vera Hart 


quinta-feira, 31 de outubro de 2024

Greater Israel: an Ongoing Expansion Plan for the Middle East and North Africa


Photo: Greater Israel”, according to the founding father of Zionism Theodore Herzl, 
is a Jewish State stretching “from the Brook of Egypt to the Euphrates.




The recent picture of an Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) soldier with a Greater Israel badge on the uniform provoked outrage in Arab countries
 (Middle East Monitor, 2024). 


The promised land of Israel, as described in the badge photo, includes regions from the Nile to the Euphrates, from Medina to Lebanon, including territories from Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, entire Jordan, and Occupied Palestinian territories. 

Why it sparked outrage, however, is not clear: the map reflects Theodor Herzl’s more than a century old statement: “Discussed with Bodenheimer the demands we will make. Area: from the Brook of Egypt to the Euphrates…” (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, p. 711), and with newer instances of this territorial expansion desiderate, expressed by Oded Yinon plan and Saul B. Cohen’s geopolitical concepts, among others, and the aggressive stance against Israel’s neighbors and regional countries. Hence, it is probably not the existence of the plan that sparked outrage, but its appearance in the broader social media space.

This view on region’s future is neither new nor rare. 
In a January 2024 recording, Israeli politician Avi Lipkin was stating: 
“… eventually, our borders will extend from Lebanon to the Great Desert, which is Saudi Arabia, and then from the Mediterranean to the Euphrates. And who is on the other side of the Euphrates? The Kurds! And the Kurds are friends. So we have Mediterranean behind us, the Kurds in front of us, Lebanon, which really needs the umbrella of protection of Israel, and then we’re gonna take, I believe we’re gonna take Mecca, Medina and Mount Sinai, and to purify those places” 
(Middle East Monitor 1, 2024).



This article analyzes the geopolitical and international relations implications of Israel’s expansion plan in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, in connection with the dynamic concept of Greater Israel, from a historical development perspective:

1. Geopolitical lens considerations and Israeli assertions
Rudolf Kjellen’s “geopolitik” was defined at the end of 19th century, and according to literature, the developed framework encompasses also the “organic concept of statehood” (Tunander, 2001, p. 453), along with other concepts like “state and land”, unity, people, personality of a state on the international scene.

Post-World War II literature on geopolitics began to criticize and revise initial geopolitical hypotheses defined by Mahan, Mackinder and Haushofer, among others. 
For example, Sprot was stating in 1953:
 “Very few of these hypotheses reflect dispassionate objectivity. Most of them reflect a specific nationalistic viewpoint; most of them were formulated in the heat of some kind of a crisis, in a period of tension; most of them reflect advise to a particular government – a policy which, if followed, it was hoped would achieve some desired result” 
(Sprout, 1954, p. 20). 

While the arguments hold true, it was also the association of geopolitics with Friedrich Ratzel’s Lebensraum conceptual framework and its instrumentalization by the German Nazis that led to a “divestment” from geopolitics as a discipline in the mid 20th century.

In principle, geopolitics was concerned with the distribution of (state) power across regions and the globe, i.e., geographical regions, from the perspective of theoretical developments and political practice. It expanded on the previous military power concepts, and the association of states with organisms was probably another embodiment analogy, like for example Planet Earth as a living organism: Gaia.

Geopolitics was supposed to deliver answers and support in addressing various issues for different decision-makers at a certain point in history. From this perspective, it is connected to a state’s external policy and international relations. It thus evolved from the beginnings of the 20th century to the Cold War theses, the subsequent American unipolarism and the post-2001 American War-on-Terror (WoT) approach. Should one consider China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) as a geopolitical shift, at least a part of the world has moved into a geopolitical setting in which international influence is not resulting from a direct military confrontation with other countries.

However, following classical geopolitical criteria are retained for this study: the dynamic character of a state’s international stance, which according to certain theories, not reflected in present mainstream international relations practice, included the dynamics of borders, the state-centered view on international relations and the concept of state power. The newer “critical geopolitics” literature approaches questions, among others, the self-proclaimed universal character of Western geopolitical concepts, arguing also that after the Cold War, the world has not achieved peace. It also theorizes that geopolitics is “a broad cultural phenomenon” and “its value is not politically neutral” (HU & Dadao, 2016). The following criteria will be added to the geopolitical analysis framework from this article: the relative universalism of demands and the political discourse as distinct tool in achieving geopolitical goals.

No geopolitical theoretical framework can exhaustively describe the evolution of Israel’s power relations with its neighbors and other countries. The classical approaches served the pre-World War II international relations and the subsequent versions also tend to support the view of a particular power center. Therefore, following research directions will be considered in subsequent chapters: the notion of a dynamic state as argument for geopolitical demands, state-centered approach to international relations, universalism of hypotheses and evolution of political discourse as a tool. 

Instead of filtering the Greater Israel project through a particular lens,
This article will analyze three main instances of Israeli geopolitical views/expressions related to Israel’s role as a state vis-à-vis broader international principles and consensus on peaceful coexistence reflected in the United Nations Charter: 
1- the Greater Israel maximalist demands expressed in Theodor Herzl’s diaries, 
2- the Oded Yinon Plan and more recent 
3- geopolitical definitions provided by Saul Cohen, which appear to consistently point towards the direction of an Israel taking over further territories of/from its neighbors.


2. Israeli demands and implications
2.1. Theodor Herzl and the Zionist Movement
Theodor Herzl is not the first proponent of a Jewish state. 
However, the history of territorial claims to land from Palestine will however not be analyzed in this article. It dates back at least a couple of centuries ago and Palestine was not the only option considered for a Jewish state before Balfour Declaration: the Uganda option, among others, was rejected by the World Zionist Organization at the beginning of 20th century. However, his and his group’s work resulted in the 1948 foundation of Israel as a state, and what the Palestinians call an-Nakba, i.e. the mass, forced, displacement of inhabitants from the future land of Israel. 
Adrian Stein explains that Herzl personally organized the first Zionist conference between 29th and 31st of August, 1897 at Stadtcasino in Basel (Stein, 2024). In Book 6 of Herzl’s diaries (beginning in 1898), Herzl describes a discussion he had with (German) Imperial Chancellor, Prince Hohenlohe, in which he is asked how much land is expected to be needed for the envisioned state. His reply was: “We will ask for what we need – the more immigrants, the more land.” In the same discussion, he explains: “We want autonomy and self-protection”  (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, pp. 701-702).

Territorial demands mentioned in various instances of this book vary in formulation, but they essentially describe a territory larger than Israel 1967 broadly recognized borders or the ones of Palestinian occupied territories. 
An example is: “I wrote on a slip of paper…: Sinai Peninsula, Egyptian Palestine, Cyprus … Sinai – El Arish – Cyprus plan…” (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, pp. 1294-1295). In the discussion with Bodenheimer related to the area “…from the brooks of Egypt to the Euphrates…” described in Book Two (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, p. 711), the plan of a two-stage process was discussed, with the aim to introduce it to the Ottoman government: initially a Jewish governor (under Ottoman sovereignty, similar to the Egyptian relation with the Sultan) and as soon as the Jewish population surpasses two thirds a complete Jewish administration.

There are many details related to Zionist developments from this period, but from the perspective of state dynamics as a criterion in this study, Balfour Declaration was not approved yet by the British government. The world had not yet begun to decolonize, and the Ottoman Empire was in regression, allowing colonial powers like the United Kingdom and France to increase their influence in Ottoman territories. In the territory of Ottoman Palestine, the state-centered approach was appearing in the form of national aspirations as defined by the mandates, i.e. an auto determination that also abolished the Ottoman Empire.

It is rather difficult to identify the universalism degree of Herzl’s demands for land.
There is a broad agreement among researchers that the Bible does not represent a scientific historical source, hence the narrative of return to Israel, or Greater Israel can be associated with an argumentative discourse, not a detailed history of the region or demographic realities on the ground. Without denying this possibility, it can also observed that the demand looks like deal proposals for certain decision-makers at certain times in history, rather than a clear delimitation of territory: it can be maximalist, in order to obtain as much as possible through negotiation, and it is presented as dynamic when replying to Prince Hohenlohe that more migrants will require more land. 
Another relative aspect of land demand is the readiness to buy the land from Arab and Greek owners (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, p. 702). Should this land had been Israeli, why buy it from existing, lawful owners? And should the thesis of “barren” land, propagated in the media, or “vacant land” (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, p. 1363) holds true, again, why buying it?

Consequently, it can be asserted that the character of Herzl’s land demands is not universal. While there were reasons for the Zionist Movement to consider founding an independent Jewish state, the location and modality to implement such a project were subject to longer, previous negotiations with power guarantors of those times, i.e., the former colonial powers, Germany and later the United States. 
These were subjective agreements.

In 1948, the State of Israel was founded on inhabited Palestinian lands and although land has been bought, reportedly more than 750,000 Palestinians were forcefully displaced from their homes. The displacement of Palestinians and conflicts in the Occupied Palestinian territories continue to take place. Israel also fought wars with its Arab neighboring countries on more occasions, and the region remains relatively unstable.

2.2. The Oded Yinon Plan
The autonomy and self-protection goals stated by Herzl were achieved, although the self-protection aim is heavily reliant on American and European military aid to this day. 
In the 1982 essay “A strategy for Israel in the Nineteen Eighties” by Oded Yinon (Yinon & Shahak, 1982), further geopolitical ideas related to the region are discussed, in line with Israel’s position and conflicts with its neighbors. This can be equated with a handbook for dissolution of Arab countries. Author’s (Yinon) claims that the world transits to a “new epoch in human history”, can also be seen as a truism: every day is a new day for the entire humanity and the establishment of epochs is different for different cultures despite the increase of globalization. The paper identifies Israel along Western world, mentions the threat of a “multi-dimensional global war” and “the dimensions of the global confrontation which will face us in the future”. It is a paper on war essentially. 

After extensively presenting various diversity aspects of Arab societies, some of them being cosmopolite for centuries anyway, including Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia and Iraq, the “plan” begins to present “dissolution” scenarios for these countries along religious or ethnical lines: a “Christian Coptic State” in Egypt, that could lead to “downfall and dissolution of Egypt,” in its turn triggering the fall of Libya and Sudan. 

The article further states: 
“Lebanon’s total dissolution into five provinces serves as a precedent for the entire Arab world including Egypt, Syria, Iraq, and the Arabian Peninsula and is already following that track. The dissolution of Syria and Iraq later into ethnically or religiously unique areas such as in Lebanon, is Israel’s primary target on the Eastern front in the long run, while the dissolution of the military power of those states serves as the primary short-term target. Syria will fall apart, in accordance with its ethnic and religious structure, into several states such as in present day Lebanon, so that there will be a Shi’ite Alawi state along its coast, a Sunni state in the Aleppo area, another Sunni state in Damascus hostile to its northern neighbor, and the Druzes who will set up a state, maybe even in our Golan, and certainly in the Hauran and in northern Jordan. This state of affairs will be the guarantee for peace and security in the area in the long run, and that aim is already within our reach today” 
(Yinon & Shahak, 1982). 

This long citation is representative for the Israeli divide et impera view on the region and at least a part of its acting directions, and a conflict between Iraq and Iran was expected, according to the article, to lead to Iraq’s dissolution, which Yinon defined as “…more important for us than that of Syria.” The article uses questionable terms like for example “…liquidation of Jordan under the present regime….”

Ralph Schoenmann, an author criticized for “personal ideological bias” and attributing “some of Israel’s misdeeds to US instigation” (Killgore, 2024), lists in his book, “The Hidden History of Zionism” (Schoenman, 1988, pp. 103-113), what he calls a “Strategy for Conquest” based on the analysis of Yinon’s plan: divide and rule, dissolving Lebanon and fragmenting Syria, an “assault” on Iran, targeting Iraq, “double-crossing Mubarak”,  weakening Saudi Arabia and dissolution of Arabian peninsula states and depopulation of Palestine. Schoenman claims that Yinon’s ideas were not isolated: they had been presented by Ariel Sharon and Moshe Arens, as well as the Labor Party. 
He also lists the four “NOs” of Labor Party’s 1984 political platform: 
  1. NO to a Palestinian state, 
  2. NO to negotiations with Palestinian Liberation Organization (which must be assessed from the perspective of results), 
  3. NO to the 1967 borders and 
  4. NO to the removal of settlements 
(Schoenman, 1988, p. 113).

In the 1980s, Israel was already a dynamic state, with new territories occupied after the 1967 war and maintained in the 1973 war, and with an ongoing settler colonialism project (Gluskin, 2018).

The approach remained very state-focused, and the only focus was basically the State of Israel, while the (Yinon) plan saw all surrounding and other Arab states as candidates for dissolution based on ethnical or religious criteria.


2.3. Saul Cohen’s geopolitical definitions and other current views
Saul Cohen’s “Geopolitics” was published initially in 2003, and republished in 2009 and 2015 (Cohen, 2015). Two aspects of his work appear to confirm a geopolitical view that are connected with Israel’s regional situation and its geopolitical constraints: the definition of a nation’s claim to power and the concept of geopolitical structures that includes “highly autonomous regions” and “quasi states”.

The four pillars of a nation’s claim to power mentioned in his book are: 
  1. an overwhelming military strength and the will to use this power, 
  2. “surplus economic energy” to be provided as aid or investment to other countries, 
  3. ideological leadership, and 
  4. a cohesive governance system 
(Cohen, 2015, p. 2). 

While his work is generally very descriptive on Western concepts, this definition can be perceived rather as a definition of US military power if one considered the first two pillars. Assuming that Israel is still working on the development of economy, and that overall military power included massive exogenous support, the claim of Israel to power could be eventually accommodated in a regional setting. Although the author does not detail on superpower competition’s impact on Israel, the work states that “radical geopolitical restructuring is a continuous process” in the context of an increasing number of states on the globe, and an advance of multipolarity and regionalism. Potentially as a confirmation of Oded Yinon’s plan, the book also states that the Middle East “has become even more fractured as a shatterbelt” (Cohen, 2015, p. 33). Further confirming on Yinon’s dissolution view, Cohen claims that in approx. 25 years, the number of national states could increase from 200 to 250, in what he calls a devolution process.

However, although mentioning the “national states,” Cohen immediately switches to the notion of “these new geoterritorial entities” that are expected to become highly autonomous “quasi states,” and not national states as initially mentioned. Another term that appears to confirm the idea of possible dissolution of states is that of (national) state’s “demise”, associated in this book with strengthening of world and regional governing bodies, influence of Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), economic developments, etc. (Cohen, 2015, p. 49). Cohen even suggests regions with the potential to become, in his view independent or quasi states: Quebec, Crete, Catalonia, Scotland, Wales, Chechnya, Somaliland, Arab Palestine, (Iraqi) Kurdistan, among others and possible new “confederations”, listing China and Taiwan, Former Yugoslav states and the Baltic States, among others (Cohen, 2015, pp. 57-59).

In Chapter 12, “The Middle East Shatterbelt”, the author presents a map (fig. 12.1) that includes Turkiye in the “shatterbelt” region. The map does not mark large parts of Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt, Yemen as “Effective National Territory.” Neom, for example, was not marked as an Effective National Territory in this book. It marks the entire Israeli territory either as ecumenes or effective national territory, a small part of West Bank and no region from Gaza as effective national territory. Most of Jordan’s territory is also not marked as Effective National Territory. Ecumenes are defined as “areas of greatest density of population and economic activity” and Effective National Territories and Effective Regional Territories as “moderately populated areas with favorable resource bases” (Cohen, 2015, pp. 39-40).

All these concepts appear to support/justify Israel’s regional expansion aspirations, and previous concepts like “barren”/” vacant” land. Although this book is a theoretization and probably author’s opinion, this type of opinion has the potential to move the discussion from the “territorial integrity or political independence of any state” (UN Charter article 2) to another area in which regions from sovereign states, be they strong or weak, are not marked as Effective National Territories, based on subjective definitions. 

Of course, this does not directly infringe upon territorial sovereignty of these countries, but the possibility of interpretation cannot be ruled out especially in this terminology setting, and in the context of political declarations of certain Israeli politicians related to Ottoman Palestine: 
Jordan may feel threatened, Egypt as well, and President Erdogan stated in May 2024: “…if this … state of Israel is not stopped, it will set its eyes on Anatolia with its delusion of a promised land…” (Middle East Monitor 05, 2024). 

Another important concept from this book is that of “equilibrium”, along with turbulence and world order, from a system perspective, that, again points to a “developmental approach”, mentioning Herbert Spencer’s “organic growth analogy” (Cohen, 2015, p. 59).

Yossi Sarid published in 2011 an opinion on Haaretz website, according to which the two traditional pillars of Israel’s occupation were history and security, and called the back-then newly added pillar “not a pillar but a snake”, arguing against the alleged appearance of what he called the need for “lebensraum” (Sarid, 2011). His statement related to the security dilemma that Israel faces was: 
“The second, security-based school of thought stipulates that we need virtually all the territories for self-defense” (Sarid, 2011). While it is not clear whether the author identifies with this statement or not, the reflection emphasizes on an argument that serves both the security of Israel and the Greater Israel expansionist cause.

The leitmotif of “new age” or “new era” continues to be employed in multiple instances. 
In Adrian Stein’s blog series (Stein 2, 2024), Mr. Stein explains that “Zionism 2.0” is set to establish “the foundation for a new emerging civilization centered and based in Israel, propelled by Israel’s culture, language and gifted people”. The scope is global, according to the author: 
“Zionism 2.0 seeks to alter and transform the existing material and economic basis of the world, and through these efforts give rise to a new global structure or civilization if you may”. Technological, scientific development is envisioned, along with the spread of start-ups.


Therefore, how is Greater Israel goal reflected in contemporary literature and media reports analyzed above? 
Probably the most important aspect is that it is not much different than it was at the beginning of 20th century, or the 1980s, from the geopolitical perspective. Adrian Stein utilizes the title “From the Euphrates to the Nile” (Stein 2, 2024), Saul Cohen insists on the same terminology that accommodated overtaking land by force and by defining characteristics for the so-called “new” ages. The theses that appear to drive the Greater Israel expansion appear to be connected to the notion of a dynamic state, in the sense of territorial expansion for Israel if one considers the security threat discuss above, and the dissolution of Arab states discussed in the Oded Yinon plan. 
All materials analyzed appear to have been state-centered, irrespective of their direction. The universalism character of geopolitical hypotheses appears to be rather inexistent and inconsistent from a possible replication perspective. Likewise, the universalism of claims related to a potential new global civilization centered in Israel is yet to be demonstrated. And even if it was demonstrated, there is no clear hint on how long such a civilization could potentially last.

The political discourse development as a tool in supporting greater Israel (Behnam, 2023) is reflected by the refinement of “hasbara” policy, i.e. the Civic Public Diplomacy. This is equated with “the control of Narrative as an Element of Strategy” by Ambassador Chas W. Freeman (Freeman, 2024), with “Art of Deception” by a TRT World article (TRT World, 2021), and with a “propaganda machine” by Sam Hamad (Hamad, 2023).



3. Potential geopolitical implications of Greater Israel project
Although not new, the Greater Israel project appears to receive renewed attention in the light of the most recent war from Gaza, that reportedly led to the death of more than 34,000 and wounding of over 78’000 Palestinians, and the prospect for a potential war in Lebanon.

This recent Gaza development appears to at least pause the Abraham Accords with Saudi Arabia, but should Israel pursue its Greater Israel project, whose maps match Herzl’s territorial demands and clearly hints at extending its territory in Saudi Arabia, including Neom and according to Avi Lipkin Mecca and Medina, the envisioned regional peace becomes an unclear concept. There is no long term, core concept identified in analyzed publications that hint at a possible restraint of Israel from expanding its territory. It is thus difficult to distinguish, based on analyzed data, between a potential strategic patience of Greater Israel planners – that could envision a longer timing for this project and a step-by-step approach, and a potential agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia along other neighbors, to form a sort of alliance/union with a map that the Israeli soldiers recently displayed. However, given the situation at this point in history, and the historic tendency of Israeli strategists towards a state-centered approach, the latter option is probably unlikely.

The regional geopolitical dynamics appear to be marked by various forms of conflict that hint towards an active Greater Israel project, a potential normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel, and an increasing confrontation between Iran and its allies and Israel, the US and their allies on the other hand. In this confrontation, Türkiye appears to play no significant role and Saudi Arabia appears to wait for a certain event to pick a direction. And this event would be reportedly the recognition (by Israel) of a Palestinian state.

Saul Cohen’s view was that global organizations tend to weaken state sovereignty. This state-centered approach was expressed, probably, from a geopolitical perspective that does not include the importance of trade. It must be however emphasized that Israel is relying particularly on the US, the UK, and other allies, rather than United Nations Security Council, to carry out its defense policy. Furthermore, the tensions derived from a potential arrest warrant for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu by the International Criminal Court have resulted in a further distancing between Israel and international organizations.

The approach to Greater Israel project may determine various regional and global reactions. 
Until recently, the essentially grey line approach to the Occupied Palestinian Territories, which could be perceived as a long-term slow-pace settlement project, since it resulted in the increase of settlement units, along with what the media often calls Egyptian and Lebanese economic and financial “difficulties” have ensured a certain advancement of Israel outside its 1967 borders. 

However, although other successes were marked, like the recent Abraham Accords, it must also be emphasized that it was not able to maintain the occupation of Sinai peninsula or the puppet state it helped create and supported in Southern Lebanon back in the ‘80s. 
Likewise, although Syria is facing serious hardships, it did not disintegrate. 
Likewise, the deal that Ankara signed with Baghdad will probably increase security in the Iraqi Kurdistan region, rather than creating further potential for wider conflicts. 

From this perspective, the “shatterbelt” characteristic of this region appears to be a rather stable instability than an unstable one: no major geopolitical change has occurred so far and no border has been redrawn. 

Furthermore, states like Iran, Türkiye and Egypt have become very vigilant from this perspective, and Iraq appears to reemerge as a regional economic power that can catalyze regional power relations. These short-term regional tendencies appear to strengthen region’s capacity to react to a potential extension of Israel’s borders by force.

While Israel’s support in the US remains strong across the entire political spectrum, the political and economic costs of a potential broader war near Israel’s borders can rise for the traditional superpower. In the wider context of superpower confrontation paradigm, a generally increasing confrontational scene and a potential global arms race, whose alleged goals are self-defense, whatever the meaning is, American priorities may become more pronounced in this context. Whatever they might be.

A potential plan by Israel to become a trade hub/route connecting Europe to Asia, and to win leverage as a hydrocarbon supplier especially for Europe is facing challenges from more directions: 
China will probably remain a user of the existing Suez Canal. 
Probably India as well, unless it receives more economic and political incentives from the proponents of alternatives. 
Likewise, Türkiye is already an important hub for gas and oil pipelines and is emerging as a route for the Middle Corridor trade route as well. 

Hence, while Israel can offer alternatives to old and new trade routes, the same regionalism and multipolarity that Saul Cohen mentioned can lead to new economic development patterns that will demand Israel to imagine new, efficient regional policies, that could or could not rely on the same level of support from traditional security partners. 

Whether these potential new paradigms are compatible with the traditional and actual Greater Israel goal remains to be analyzed, primarily by Israel, its neighbours and its regional partners in the first instance.


4. Conclusions
This article aimed to characterize the “Greater Israel” concept from a geopolitical perspective. 
After analyzing classical and revisionist theories on geopolitics, four indicators were defined to assess the historical evolution of this term from the beginning of 20th century until present. 
The indicators were: 
  1. the dynamic characteristic of a state, 
  2. the (degree of) state-centered approach to geopolitics, 
  3. universalism as a hypothesis in demands and negotiations, but also in political speech, and 
  4. the (degree to which) political discourse is employed as a tool in implementing geopolitical goals, including Greater Israel project.

Three major instances of Israel’s foundation and development as a state were analyzed: 
  1. the foundation negotiations carried out by Theodor Herzl and his supporters, 
  2. the Oded Yinon plan and 
  3. the 21st century geopolitical concepts presented by Saul Cohen and other writers. 
The data analyzed indicates a systematic, long-term, desire to achieve a Greater Israel that would stretch from Egypt to Iraq, potentially including regions from Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan.

There is no clear indication that Israel would renounce this goal, or that it would compromise on Greater Israel project. However, the leitmotif that appears in the argumentation of Greater Israel project, i.e., the a perpetual “new” era/age, might indeed represent a reason for reflection. 

As the world is reportedly moving towards an end of big oil era, and trade routes multiply at global and regional level, new paradigm changes will be required for the traditional superpowers in order to peacefully compete with the emerging industrial and trade powers.

And while Israel is enjoying autonomy and increases its stake in own self-protection, the importance of foreign support may still be a core component of its regional policy. 

When analyzing the Greater Israel project, one must consider whether a potential perpetual war state is compatible with aspirations towards a peace-time economic development, that is supposed to compete with new-era, fast-developing economic powers. Likewise, given the existing precarious security situation, it remains unclear what security guarantees can Israel and Arab countries can offer and ask to move towards a more predictable development.





Ecaterina MAŢOI
in, Middle East Political and Economic Institute





sexta-feira, 21 de outubro de 2022

Transição Energética para o Hidrogénio Verde...e, para o futuro, com a Fusão Nuclear





 

 "Acredito que um dia a água será usada como combustível, que o hidrogénio e o oxigénio que a constituem, usados de forma isolada ou simultânea, oferecerão uma fonte inesgotável de calor e luz a uma intensidade superior à do carvão mineral" 
Assim escreveu Jules Verne no seu romance “A Ilha Misteriosa”, de 1875. E agora, 145 anos depois, a "visão" de um dos maiores escritores de romances científicos de todos os tempos está a tornar-se realidade.




É esperado que as Energias Renováveis descarbonizem uma grande parte do consumo total de energia até 2050. Este é um dos grandes objetivos do “Green Deal” –  Pacto Ecológico Europeu, divulgado no final do ano de 2019, pela Comissão Europeia.

Mas para que a dependência de combustíveis fósseis diminua e a transição energética aconteça, terá de haver mudanças substanciais no sistemas energéticos. 
Por um lado, é necessário continuar a investir no desenvolvimento de tecnologias que potenciem a produção de energia verde, quer seja através da energia eólica, energia solar, energia hídrica, ou mesmo através de tecnologias que juntem várias fontes de produção de energia renovável, através dos chamados sistemas híbridos.  
Por outro, é necessário apostar num combustível alternativo ao petróleo que seja renovável e não poluente. 

E é neste contexto que entra o Hidrogénio!


O hidrogénio é dos elementos mais abundantes do Planeta Terra. 
Mas, apesar da sua abundância, raramente se encontra no seu estado isolado. 
Normalmente encontra-se combinado com outros elementos, como é o caso da molécula da água (H2O) que contém 2 átomos de hidrogénio. 
Deste modo, para se produzir hidrogénio é necessário separá-lo da outra molécula.

O Hidrogénio verde é o nome que se dá ao processo de produção de hidrogénio obtido pela eletrólise da água, ou seja, por efeito da passagem de uma corrente elétrica pela água, essa energia permite separar os átomos de oxigénio e de hidrogénio. Como este processo não necessita de combustíveis fósseis para a sua produção é considerado Hidrogénio verde.

A principal vantagem deste processo, consiste no facto de as reações químicas necessárias para reconverter hidrogénio em energia produzirem apenas água como produto final, ou seja, não há emissão de gases poluentes ou gases de efeito estufa.

Este é o método “mais limpo” de obter hidrogénio e aquele que a União Europeia pretende investir a médio/longo prazo.




Hoje em dia, mais de 90% do hidrogénio produzido no mundo é refinado e resulta da reformação por vapor, o chamado hidrogénio cinzento. 
Na prática, passa por colocar gás natural, diesel ou carvão a altas temperaturas, num processo em que estes combustíveis vão reagir com o vapor de água e produzir hidrogénio. 
Este processo é altamente poluente. 

Segundo a IEA (Agência Internacional de Energia), a sua produção é responsável por cerca de 830 milhões de toneladas de dióxido de carbono por ano,igual à soma das emissões produzidas pelo Reino Unido e pela Indonésia.

A tendência de médio/longo prazo tem como foco um aumento da percentagem do consumo total de energia por parte das renováveis e uma diminuição progressiva da percentagem atribuída a energias fósseis.

O hidrogênio verde representa a chave para um desenvolvimento verdadeiramente sustentável e se encaixa perfeitamente na visão de sustentabilidade do planeta, que se baseia num duplo objetivo: 
Por um lado, a descarbonização através do crescimento das energias renováveis e o encerramento das indústrias fósseis(gás natural, carvão e petróleo) e centrais nucleares.
E, por outro, a eletrificação para consumo final.


ENERGIA FISSÃO NUCLEAR 
A energia nuclear não emite CO2 para a atmosfera, não contribuindo para o aquecimento global. 
De fato, as emissões de CO2 de uma central nuclear são praticamente nulas, pois o urânio é utilizado como combustível, não havendo queima de combustíveis fósseis. 
Entretanto, o CO2 é emitido durante as etapas do ciclo do combustível nuclear (transformação do mineral urânio para que ele possa ser utilizado como combustível nas centrais nucleares). 
A etapa de enriquecimento do urânio, por exemplo, costuma depender da eletricidade gerada por combustíveis fósseis.
Outro aspecto negativo do uso da energia nuclear é o lixo gerado pelas centrais nucleares. 
Elas produzem uma elevada e variada quantidade de dejetos, que incluem o próprio urânio utilizado nos reatores e os equipamentos contaminados pelo urânio e por outros elementos resultantes das reações ocorridas. Esses resíduos são altamente tóxicos e nocivos ao meio ambiente e à saúde humana. 
Um dos principais problemas é que estes resíduos permanecem contaminados por um longo período de tempo. Embora diversos métodos de destinação final tenham surgido, ainda há muitas incertezas sobre o correto tratamento e disposição final do lixo radioativo.
A possibilidade da ocorrência de acidentes nucleares também gera muitas discussões. Esses acidentes podem ocorrer por falhas humanas ou técnicas, causando danos irreversíveis ao meio ambiente e à saúde humana.



É necessário criar uma série de instalações híbridas que consistem em indústrias de energias renováveis (solar e eólica) combinadas com eletrolisadores – estruturas que, por meio da eletricidade, dividem as moléculas de água em hidrogênio e oxigênio – para produzir hidrogênio verde, que será então vendido aos clientes para a descarbonização de seus processos. 
Esse pipeline também inclui a possibilidade de instalar os eletrolisadores nas nossas indústrias fotovoltaicas e eólicas já existentes, por exemplo, no Chile, nos Estados Unidos e na Espanha, onde existe um vasto potencial de energias renováveis e condições regulatórias favoráveis.

Embora esta não seja uma alternativa para a eletrificação, que continua sendo a maneira mais fácil e barata de descarbonizar grandes porções do consumo total final de energia, o hidrogênio verde representa um complemento desse processo, uma das soluções energéticas mais promissoras, acessíveis e sustentáveis para reduzir as emissões de CO2. 
E para alcançar a neutralidade climática de 2050, a descarbonização de indústrias que dependem do uso de combustíveis fósseis realmente fará toda a diferença.  

Além disso, se produzido dentro das fronteiras nacionais, o hidrogénio verde pode reduzir a dependência de um país das importações de combustíveis fósseis e, com a criação de uma nova cadeia de valor, pode ter  implicações sociais positivas, com o aumento de novas oportunidades de emprego e a estabilização de preços da energia comercial.

O hidrogénio tem uma ampla gama de aplicações e pode ser usado em setores como: a indústria e o transporte, nomeadamente em comboios, aviões, automóveis, camiões e autocarros movidos a células de combustível de hidrogénio.
A sua combustão não envolve a emissão de CO2, gerando apenas vapor de água.  

A visão estratégica Europeia prevê que a percentagem do consumo energético atribuída ao hidrogénio irá aumentar de 2% para 14% em 2050 (há estudos que indicam 24%).

No entanto, há muitas perguntas ainda sem resposta relacionadas à grande quantidade de energia usada na produção de hidrogénio renovável, à disponibilidade de grandes tecnologias de armazenamento ou aos altos custos de transporte. Mas a difusão das energias renováveis, o aumento da produção de eletrolisadores e a relativa economia de escala, graças à evolução tecnológica, poderia abrir o caminho.

No cenário atual, portanto, o hidrogénio nos permitiria dar mais um passo em direção à neutralidade climática, desde que seja produzido a partir de fontes de energias renováveis.




Mas, o futuro está na Fusão Nuclear!

Mas qual a diferença entre a fusão nuclear e, a energia nuclear que existe actualmente, que se chama de Fissão nuclear?

Tanto a fusão quanto a fissão nuclear são processos naturais que ocorrem no núcleo de um átomo e geram energia. 

Mas qual a diferença entre fissão e fusão nuclear? 

Em poucas linhas, é que na fusão temos a combinação de dois ou mais átomos leves, enquanto a fissão envolve a divisão de um único núcleo atómico, geralmente pesado e instável.
A fusão nuclear é um tipo de energia nuclear diferente do processo de fissão nuclear que é usado desde 1950 nos reatores de energia atómica
Na fusão, a energia é gerada a partir da união de átomos, enquanto na fissão a energia é gerada pela divisão de átomos.

A fusão é o mesmo processo que acontece no Sol continuamente, responsável pelo seu calor e sua luz, e exige calor e pressão extremos, sendo muito mais difícil de controlar do que a fissão.
A cada segundo, bilhões de toneladas de átomos de hidrogénio colidem uns com os outros em condições de temperatura e pressão extrema dentro do Sol. Isso os força a quebrar suas ligações químicas e se fundirem, formando um elemento mais pesado, o hélio.
A fusão solar gera quantidades enormes de calor e luz.

Este fato levou muitos engenheiros e cientistas a iniciar projetos para o desenvolvimento de reatores de fusão (Tokamaks) de modo a gerar eletricidade (por exemplo, a fusão de poucos cm³ de deutério, um isótopo de hidrogénio, produziria uma energia equivalente àquela produzida pela queima de 20 toneladas de carvão).

Nas últimas décadas pesquisadores têm tentado replicar esse processo na Terra, produzir "um sol na caixa", como dizem alguns físicos. A ideia é pegar num certo tipo de gás de hidrogénio, aquecê-lo a mais de 100 milhões de graus Celsius até formar uma nuvem de plasma, e controlá-lo com um poderoso campo magnético até que os átomos se fundam e libertem energia.


Potencialmente, a energia da fusão nuclear é muito limpa: não gera CO² como subproduto, não gera lixo tóxico (já que o resultado da reação é o hélio, que não é radioativo), não gera riscos de explosão.



Fusão nuclear quando ocorre com elementos mais leves que o ferro e o níquel (que possuem as maiores forças de coesão nuclear de todos os átomos, sendo portanto mais estáveis) ela geralmente liberta energia, e com elementos mais pesados ela consome. 
Até hoje, início do século XXI, ainda não foi encontrada uma forma de controlar comercialmente a fusão nuclear, como acontece com a fissão, embora existam laboratórios de pesquisa que utilizam reatores de fusão nuclear em pesquisas científicas. Um projeto que caminha para a demonstração da viabilidade comercial do uso da fusão nuclear controlada é o ITER.

Trinta e cinco países participam do projeto ITER(Reator Termonuclear Experimental Internacional) com um investimento superior a US$ 22 biliões num reator gigante, que começou a ser construído em 2007 no sul da França.
Toda a propriedade intelectual será dividida por igual pelos 35 países, o que é algo único.
O plano é ter o primeiro plasma produzido em 2025, e a fusão de deutério e trítio em 2035.
No entanto, da produção do plasma até à obtenção de energia ainda há um longo caminho.

O projeto também foi prejudicado por longos atrasos e, porque ultrapassou o orçamento inicial, mas desde 2015 que tudo voltou ao normal, mas todos esses imprevistos fazem com que seja improvável que haja uma central nuclear de fusão até 2050.



"O que estamos a fazer é desafiar as fronteiras do que é conhecido no mundo da tecnologia", diz o físico Ian Chapman, presidente da Agência Britânica de Energia Atômica. 
"E é claro que encontramos obstáculos e precisamos de os superar, o que fazemos o tempo todo."

Até o ITER estar a funcionar em 2025, o chamado JET (Joint European Torus), no Reino Unido, continuará a ser a maior pesquisa com fusão nuclear existente.

O JET teve financiamento da União Europeia de 100 Milhões de 2019 a 2020, e irá continuar a funcionar até 2023, e em 2024 será desativado devido ao BREXIT. 
Mas o governo do UK recentemente anunciou um investimento de 220 milhões de libras para o desenvolvimento de uma central de fusão até 2040. 
Durante os próximos quatro anos, pesquisadores vão desenvolver um projeto para uma central de fusão chamada Tokamak Esférico para Produção de Energia, ou STEP, na sigla em inglês (Tokamak é um tipo de reator experimental de fusão).


A participação do Reino Unido no ITER, que tem o dobro do tamanho do JET, apesar da saída do país da União Europeia, foi mantida com a assinatura do acordo Trade and Cooperation Agreement, entre o UK e a UE.
Neste momento, existem à volta de 20 reatores de Fusão no mundo.



The Joint European Torus Tokamak generator, seen from the inside



O método mais conhecido de fusão envolve um reator Tokamak, que tem uma câmara de vácuo em formato de donut. Nela, o hidrogénio é aquecido a 100 milhões de graus Celsius, e então se torna um plasma. Um campo magnético fortíssimo é usado para confinar o plasma para que ele não derreta o reator e encaminha-o para que a fusão ocorra.

No Reino Unido, pesquisadores desenvolveram um tipo diferente de Tokamak, que parece mais uma maçã do que um donut. Chamado de Tokamak esférico, ele tem a vantagem de ser mais compacto, permitindo que centrais futuras sejam localizadas em áreas urbanizadas.

"Se olharmos para algumas unidades, com as grandes máquinas que precisamos instalar, podemos ver que a tarefa de encontrar um local para colocá-los por si só já é difícil", diz Nanna Heiberg, da Agência de Energia Atómica do Reino Unido.
"O ideal é colocá-las perto de onde a energia é usada. E se conseguirmos criar reatores em espaços menores, podemos colocá-los mais próximos aos usuários e criar mais pelo país."



REATORES PRIVADOS
Enquanto governos internacionais tentam fazer o ITER ir para a frente, alguns países também têm suas iniciativas nacionais. A China, a Índia, a Rússia e o Estados Unidos estão a trabalhar no desenvolvimento de reatores comerciais.

O Banco de Investimento da Europa também está a colocar centenas de milhões de euros num programa de produção de energia de fusão nuclear italiano que prevê operações a partir de 2050.

A marinha americana já registou a patente de um "dispositivo de fusão de plasma por compressão", que usará campos magnéticos para criar uma rotação acelerada e produzir energia para o funcionamento de navios e submarinos. A ideia é criar reatores pequenos o suficiente para que sejam portáteis. Há muitas dúvidas sobre a possibilidade de que isso seja possível na prática.

Talvez a maior expectativa venha do setor privado. 
São empresas menores, mais ágeis, e se desenvolvem a cometer erros e a aprender com eles rapidamente.
Hoje, há dúzias delas no mundo todo, levantando fundos e avançando com abordagens diferentes das tradicionais.

A First Light, por exemplo, surgiu na Universidade de Oxford, no Reino Unido, e envolve lançar um projétil num alvo que contém átomos de hidrogénio. A onda de choque do impacto pressiona o combustível e produz o plasma.

A Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) foi criada por ex-funcionários do MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) e conseguiu levantar mais de US$ 100 milhões. Seu objetivo é desenvolver um reator Tokamak com Ímanes supercondutores que permitirão produzir um reator menor e mais barato.

A TAE Technologies, da Califórnia, conseguiu investimento de empresas como a Google e quer usar um tipo diferente de combustível: uma mistura de hidrogénio e boro, ambos elementos abundantes e não-radioativos. O protótipo deles é um reator cilíndrico que forma dois anéis de plasma que são unidos e mantidos juntos com raios de partículas não reagentes para que fiquem mais quentes e durem mais.

Uma das empresas mais competitivas é a empresa canadense General Fusion
A sua abordagem atraiu bastante atenção ao ser apoiada por bilionários como o criador da Amazon, Jeff Bezos.
A General Fusion nomeou o seu sistema de "magnetised target fusion", algo como "fusão magnetizada direcionada", em inglês.
O método funciona inserindo plasma quente injetado numa bola de metal líquido dentro de uma esfera de aço. A mistura então é comprimida por gigantescas pistolas de pressão, mais ou menos como um motor a fissão.
"As pistolas disparam simultaneamente e colapsam a cavidade com o combustível dentro", diz Michael Delage, diretor de tecnologia da empresa.
"No pico da compressão, quando a reação acontece, ela está cercada por todos os lados por metal líquido, então a energia vai para o metal, que depois é usado para ferver água e produzir vapor, que por sua vez é usado para produzir energia elétrica."
A General Fusion diz que espera que seu protótipo esteja a funcionar em cinco anos.

"O custo de energias renováveis caiu, enquanto o custo do projeto de fusão internacional, o ITER, subiu", diz o físico britânico Chris Llewellyn Smit, que já foi presidente do conselho do ITER. 
"Agora parece bem improvavel que consigam completar o projeto sem novas ideias."

A Fusão nuclear ainda é muito cara mas, precisamos de uma fonte de energia livre de carbono para complementar as renováveis no futuro.

"A fusão precisa de recursos para realmente funcionar", diz Ian Chapman, da agência britânica de energia atómica. 
"A investigação pode ser feita por um país ou pela iniciativa privada.
Mas é necessário haver uma maior escala e maiores recursos para passar a ter uma produção mais barata como as renováveis."



Faz todo sentido. 
Tal fonte de energia é abundante: fundir átomos controladamente libera 4 milhões de vezes mais energia que a queima de petróleo e quatro vezes mais que a fissão nuclear. Ela também é sustentável: seus reagentes estão disponíveis no mundo todo e são praticamente inesgotáveis. Para iniciar a fusão, são necessários apenas dois isótopos do hidrogénio — deutério e trítio. O deutério é praticamente infinito, uma vez que está presente na água do mar. Já o trítio precisa ser fabricado. Mas a produção desse isótopo está atrelada ao próprio processo da fusão: é só garantir que os neutrões emitidos reajam com o lítio. 

“Acho que uma bateria de lítio de um laptop e, talvez, uma garrafa de água forneceriam eletricidade para sua vida toda”, afirma Eva Belonohy, especialista de plasma na investigação de fusão JET, do Reino Unido

Reservas de lítio também são muito abundantes, disponíveis em terra firme e nos oceanos.

A fusão nuclear não emite dióxido de carbono (CO2), apenas hélio, e o gás nobre em estado inerte não é tóxico. Ao contrário do processo de fissão, não há produção de lixo nuclear nem riscos decorrentes da fabricação de armas atómicas. 
Por outras palavras, a fusão é segura: por ser um processo tão difícil de manter, caso algo dê errado, basta apertar um botão e o plasma resfria em segundos. Não existe risco de Chernobyls ou Fukushimas.

Mais de 99% do Universo, como as estrelas e a matéria interestelar, é feito de plasma. 
Para contê-lo no dispositivo continuamente aquecido sem danificar as paredes de um reator, os cientistas usam grandes ímanes para criar uma “prisão” magnética. 
Encontrar o material ideal para a parede do equipamento, desenvolver a tecnologia para cultivar o trítio e projetar o mecanismo que produzirá vapor para transformar a energia gerada em eletricidade e colocá-la na rede elétrica são outros desafios. 
Há décadas, físicos tentam montar esse quebra-cabeça.