quinta-feira, 31 de outubro de 2024

NÃO SUBSCREVO






 Não, não, não subscrevo, não assino 
que a pouco e pouco tudo volte ao de antes, 
como se golpes, contra-golpes, intentonas 
(ou inventonas - armadilhas postas 
da esquerda prá direita ou desta para aquela) 
não fossem mais que preparar caminho 
a parlamentos e governos que 
irão secretamente pôr ramos de cravos 
e não de rosas fatimosas mas de cravos 
na tumba do profeta em Santa Comba, 
enquanto pra salvar-se a inconomia 
os empresários (ai que lindo termo, 
com tudo o que de teatro nele soa) 
irão voltar testas de ferro do 
capitalismo que se usou de Portugal 
para mão-de-obra barata dentro ou fora. 
Tiveram todos culpa no chegar-se a isto: 
infantilmente doentes de esquerdismo 
e como sempre lendo nas cartilhas 
que escritas fedem doutras realidades, 
incompetentes competiram em 
forçar revoluções, tomar poderes e tudo 
numa ânsia de cadeiras, microfones, 
a terra do vizinho, a casa dos ausentes, 
e em moer do povo a paciência e os olhos 
num exibir-se de redondas mesas 
em televisas barbas de faláeia imensa. 
E todos eram povo e em nome del' falavam, 
ou escreviam intragáveis prosas 
em que o calão barato e as ideias caras 
se misturavam sem clareza alguma 
(no fim das contas estilo Estado Novo 
apenas traduzido num calão de insulto 
ao gosto e à inteligência dos ouvintes-povo). 
Prendeu-se gente a todos os pretextos, 
conforme o vento, a raiva ou a denúncia, 
ou simplesmente (ó manes de outro tempo) 
o abocanhar patriótico dos tachos. 
Paralisou-se a vida do pais no engano 
de que os trabalhadores não devem trabalhar 
senão em agitar-se em demandar salários 
a que tinham direito mas sem que 
houvesse produção com que pagá-los. 
Até que um dia, à beira de uma guerra 
civil (palavra cómica pois que 
do lume os militares seriam quem tirava 
para os civis a castanhinha assada), 
tudo sumiu num aborto caricato 
em que quase sem sangue ou risco de infecção 
parteiras clandestinas apararam 
no balde da cozinha um feto inexistente: 
traindo-se uns aos outros ninguém tinha 
(ó machos da porrada e do cacete) 
realmente posto o membro na barriga 
da pátria em perna aberta e lá deixado 
semente que pegasse (o tempo todo 
haviam-se exibido eufóricos de nus, 
às Áfricas e às Europas de Oeste e Leste). 
A isto se chegou. Foi criminoso? 
Nem sequer isso, ou mais do que um guião 
do filme que as direitas desejavam, 
em que como num jogo de xadrez a esquerda 
iria dando passo a passo as peças todas. 
É tarde e não adianta que se diga ainda 
(como antes já se disse) que o povo resistiu 
a ser iluminado, esclarecido, e feito 
a enfiar contente a roupa já talhada. 
Se muita gente reagiu violenta 
(com as direitas assoprando as brasas) 
é porque as lutas intestinas (termo 
extremamente adequado ao caso) 
dos esquerdismos competindo o permitiram. 
Também não vale a pena que se lave 
a roupa suja em público: já houve 
suficiente lavar que todavia 
(curioso ponto) nunca mostrou inteira 
quanta camisa à Salazar ou cueca de Caetano 
usada foi por tanto entusiasta, 
devotamente adepto de continuar ao sol 
(há conversões honestas, sim, ai quantos santos 
não foram antes grandes pecadores). 
E que fazer agora? Choro e lágrimas? 
Meter avestruzmente a cabeça na areia? 
Pactuar na supremíssima conversa 
de conciliar a casa lusitana, 
com todos aos beijinhos e aos abraços? 
Ir ao jantar de gala em que o Caetano, 
o Spínola, o Vasco, o OteIo e os outros, 
hão-de tocar seus copos de champanhe? 
Ir já fazendo a mala para exílios? 
Ou preparar uma bagagem mínima 
para voltar a ser-se clandestino usando 
a técnica do mártir (tão trágica porque 
permite a demissão de agir-se à luz do mundo, 
e de intervir directamente em tudo)? 
Mas como é clandestina tanta gente 
que toda a gente sabe quem já seja? 
Só há uma saída: a confissão 
(honesta ou calculada) de que erraram todos, 
e o esforço de mostrar ao povo (que 
mais assustaram que educaram sempre) 
quão tudo perde se vos perde a vós. 
Revolução havia que fazer. 
Conquistas há que não pode deixar-se 
que se dissolvam no ar tecnocrata 
do oportunismo à espreita de eleições. 
Pode bem ser que a esquerda ainda as ganhe, 
ou pode ser que as perca. Em qualquer caso, 
que ao povo seja dito de uma vez 
como nas suas mãos o seu destino está 
e não no das sereias bem cantantes 
(desde a mais alta antiguidade é conhecido 
que essas senhoras são reaccionárias, 
com profissão de atrair ao naufrágio 
o navegante intrépido). Que a esquerda 
nem grite, que está rouca, nem invente 
as serenatas para que não tem jeito. 
Mas firme avance, e reate os laços rotos 
entre ela mesma e o povo (que não é 
aqueles milhares de fiéis que se transportam 
de camioneta de um lugar pró outro). 
Democracia é isso: uma arte do diálogo 
mesmo entre surdos. Socialismo à força 
em que a democracia se realiza. 
Há muito socialismo: a gente sabe, 
e quem mais goste de uns que dos outros. 
É tarde já para tratar do caso: agora 
importa uma só coisa - defender 
uma revolução que ainda não houve, 
como as conquistas que chegou a haver 
(mas ajustando-as francamente à lei 
de uma equidade justa, rechaçando 
o quanto de loucuras se incitaram 
em nome de um poder que ninguém tinha). 
E vamos ao que importa: refazer 
um Portugal possível em que o povo 
realmente mande sem que o só manejem, 
e sem que a escravidão volte à socapa 
entre a delícia de pagar uma hipoteca 
da casa nunca nossa e o prazer 
de ter um frigorifico e automóveis dois. 
Ah, povo, povo, quanto te enganaram 
sonhando os sonhos que desaprenderas! 
E quanto te assustaram uns e outros, 
com esses sonhos e com o medo deles! 
E vós, políticos de ouro de lei ou borra, 
guardai no bolso imagens de outras Franças, 
ou de Germânias, Rússias, Cubas, outras Chinas, 
ou de Estados Unidos que não crêem 
que latinada hispânica mereça 
mais que caudilhos com contas na Suíça. 
Tomai nas vossas mãos o Portugal que tendes 
tão dividido entre si mesmo. Adiante. 
Com tacto e com fineza. E com esperança. 
E com um perdão que há que pedir ao povo. 
E vós, ó militares, para o quartel 
(sem que, no entanto, vos deixeis purgar 
ao ponto de não serdes o que deveis ser: 
garantes de uma ordem democrática 
em que a direita não consiga nunca 
ditar uma ordem sem democracia). 
E tu, canção-mensagem, vai e diz 
o que disseste a quem quiser ouvir-te. 
E se os puristas da poesia te acusarem 
de seres discursiva e não galante 
em graças de invenção e de linguagem, 
manda-os àquela parte. Não é tempo 
para tratar de poéticas agora.


Jorge de Sena





Greater Israel: an Ongoing Expansion Plan for the Middle East and North Africa


Photo: Greater Israel”, according to the founding father of Zionism Theodore Herzl, 
is a Jewish State stretching “from the Brook of Egypt to the Euphrates.




The recent picture of an Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) soldier with a Greater Israel badge on the uniform provoked outrage in Arab countries
 (Middle East Monitor, 2024). 


The promised land of Israel, as described in the badge photo, includes regions from the Nile to the Euphrates, from Medina to Lebanon, including territories from Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, entire Jordan, and Occupied Palestinian territories. 

Why it sparked outrage, however, is not clear: the map reflects Theodor Herzl’s more than a century old statement: “Discussed with Bodenheimer the demands we will make. Area: from the Brook of Egypt to the Euphrates…” (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, p. 711), and with newer instances of this territorial expansion desiderate, expressed by Oded Yinon plan and Saul B. Cohen’s geopolitical concepts, among others, and the aggressive stance against Israel’s neighbors and regional countries. Hence, it is probably not the existence of the plan that sparked outrage, but its appearance in the broader social media space.

This view on region’s future is neither new nor rare. 
In a January 2024 recording, Israeli politician Avi Lipkin was stating: 
“… eventually, our borders will extend from Lebanon to the Great Desert, which is Saudi Arabia, and then from the Mediterranean to the Euphrates. And who is on the other side of the Euphrates? The Kurds! And the Kurds are friends. So we have Mediterranean behind us, the Kurds in front of us, Lebanon, which really needs the umbrella of protection of Israel, and then we’re gonna take, I believe we’re gonna take Mecca, Medina and Mount Sinai, and to purify those places” 
(Middle East Monitor 1, 2024).



This article analyzes the geopolitical and international relations implications of Israel’s expansion plan in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, in connection with the dynamic concept of Greater Israel, from a historical development perspective:

1. Geopolitical lens considerations and Israeli assertions
Rudolf Kjellen’s “geopolitik” was defined at the end of 19th century, and according to literature, the developed framework encompasses also the “organic concept of statehood” (Tunander, 2001, p. 453), along with other concepts like “state and land”, unity, people, personality of a state on the international scene.

Post-World War II literature on geopolitics began to criticize and revise initial geopolitical hypotheses defined by Mahan, Mackinder and Haushofer, among others. 
For example, Sprot was stating in 1953:
 “Very few of these hypotheses reflect dispassionate objectivity. Most of them reflect a specific nationalistic viewpoint; most of them were formulated in the heat of some kind of a crisis, in a period of tension; most of them reflect advise to a particular government – a policy which, if followed, it was hoped would achieve some desired result” 
(Sprout, 1954, p. 20). 

While the arguments hold true, it was also the association of geopolitics with Friedrich Ratzel’s Lebensraum conceptual framework and its instrumentalization by the German Nazis that led to a “divestment” from geopolitics as a discipline in the mid 20th century.

In principle, geopolitics was concerned with the distribution of (state) power across regions and the globe, i.e., geographical regions, from the perspective of theoretical developments and political practice. It expanded on the previous military power concepts, and the association of states with organisms was probably another embodiment analogy, like for example Planet Earth as a living organism: Gaia.

Geopolitics was supposed to deliver answers and support in addressing various issues for different decision-makers at a certain point in history. From this perspective, it is connected to a state’s external policy and international relations. It thus evolved from the beginnings of the 20th century to the Cold War theses, the subsequent American unipolarism and the post-2001 American War-on-Terror (WoT) approach. Should one consider China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) as a geopolitical shift, at least a part of the world has moved into a geopolitical setting in which international influence is not resulting from a direct military confrontation with other countries.

However, following classical geopolitical criteria are retained for this study: the dynamic character of a state’s international stance, which according to certain theories, not reflected in present mainstream international relations practice, included the dynamics of borders, the state-centered view on international relations and the concept of state power. The newer “critical geopolitics” literature approaches questions, among others, the self-proclaimed universal character of Western geopolitical concepts, arguing also that after the Cold War, the world has not achieved peace. It also theorizes that geopolitics is “a broad cultural phenomenon” and “its value is not politically neutral” (HU & Dadao, 2016). The following criteria will be added to the geopolitical analysis framework from this article: the relative universalism of demands and the political discourse as distinct tool in achieving geopolitical goals.

No geopolitical theoretical framework can exhaustively describe the evolution of Israel’s power relations with its neighbors and other countries. The classical approaches served the pre-World War II international relations and the subsequent versions also tend to support the view of a particular power center. Therefore, following research directions will be considered in subsequent chapters: the notion of a dynamic state as argument for geopolitical demands, state-centered approach to international relations, universalism of hypotheses and evolution of political discourse as a tool. 

Instead of filtering the Greater Israel project through a particular lens,
This article will analyze three main instances of Israeli geopolitical views/expressions related to Israel’s role as a state vis-à-vis broader international principles and consensus on peaceful coexistence reflected in the United Nations Charter: 
1- the Greater Israel maximalist demands expressed in Theodor Herzl’s diaries, 
2- the Oded Yinon Plan and more recent 
3- geopolitical definitions provided by Saul Cohen, which appear to consistently point towards the direction of an Israel taking over further territories of/from its neighbors.


2. Israeli demands and implications
2.1. Theodor Herzl and the Zionist Movement
Theodor Herzl is not the first proponent of a Jewish state. 
However, the history of territorial claims to land from Palestine will however not be analyzed in this article. It dates back at least a couple of centuries ago and Palestine was not the only option considered for a Jewish state before Balfour Declaration: the Uganda option, among others, was rejected by the World Zionist Organization at the beginning of 20th century. However, his and his group’s work resulted in the 1948 foundation of Israel as a state, and what the Palestinians call an-Nakba, i.e. the mass, forced, displacement of inhabitants from the future land of Israel. 
Adrian Stein explains that Herzl personally organized the first Zionist conference between 29th and 31st of August, 1897 at Stadtcasino in Basel (Stein, 2024). In Book 6 of Herzl’s diaries (beginning in 1898), Herzl describes a discussion he had with (German) Imperial Chancellor, Prince Hohenlohe, in which he is asked how much land is expected to be needed for the envisioned state. His reply was: “We will ask for what we need – the more immigrants, the more land.” In the same discussion, he explains: “We want autonomy and self-protection”  (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, pp. 701-702).

Territorial demands mentioned in various instances of this book vary in formulation, but they essentially describe a territory larger than Israel 1967 broadly recognized borders or the ones of Palestinian occupied territories. 
An example is: “I wrote on a slip of paper…: Sinai Peninsula, Egyptian Palestine, Cyprus … Sinai – El Arish – Cyprus plan…” (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, pp. 1294-1295). In the discussion with Bodenheimer related to the area “…from the brooks of Egypt to the Euphrates…” described in Book Two (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, p. 711), the plan of a two-stage process was discussed, with the aim to introduce it to the Ottoman government: initially a Jewish governor (under Ottoman sovereignty, similar to the Egyptian relation with the Sultan) and as soon as the Jewish population surpasses two thirds a complete Jewish administration.

There are many details related to Zionist developments from this period, but from the perspective of state dynamics as a criterion in this study, Balfour Declaration was not approved yet by the British government. The world had not yet begun to decolonize, and the Ottoman Empire was in regression, allowing colonial powers like the United Kingdom and France to increase their influence in Ottoman territories. In the territory of Ottoman Palestine, the state-centered approach was appearing in the form of national aspirations as defined by the mandates, i.e. an auto determination that also abolished the Ottoman Empire.

It is rather difficult to identify the universalism degree of Herzl’s demands for land.
There is a broad agreement among researchers that the Bible does not represent a scientific historical source, hence the narrative of return to Israel, or Greater Israel can be associated with an argumentative discourse, not a detailed history of the region or demographic realities on the ground. Without denying this possibility, it can also observed that the demand looks like deal proposals for certain decision-makers at certain times in history, rather than a clear delimitation of territory: it can be maximalist, in order to obtain as much as possible through negotiation, and it is presented as dynamic when replying to Prince Hohenlohe that more migrants will require more land. 
Another relative aspect of land demand is the readiness to buy the land from Arab and Greek owners (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, p. 702). Should this land had been Israeli, why buy it from existing, lawful owners? And should the thesis of “barren” land, propagated in the media, or “vacant land” (Herzl, Ed. Patai, & Transl. Zohn, 1960, p. 1363) holds true, again, why buying it?

Consequently, it can be asserted that the character of Herzl’s land demands is not universal. While there were reasons for the Zionist Movement to consider founding an independent Jewish state, the location and modality to implement such a project were subject to longer, previous negotiations with power guarantors of those times, i.e., the former colonial powers, Germany and later the United States. 
These were subjective agreements.

In 1948, the State of Israel was founded on inhabited Palestinian lands and although land has been bought, reportedly more than 750,000 Palestinians were forcefully displaced from their homes. The displacement of Palestinians and conflicts in the Occupied Palestinian territories continue to take place. Israel also fought wars with its Arab neighboring countries on more occasions, and the region remains relatively unstable.

2.2. The Oded Yinon Plan
The autonomy and self-protection goals stated by Herzl were achieved, although the self-protection aim is heavily reliant on American and European military aid to this day. 
In the 1982 essay “A strategy for Israel in the Nineteen Eighties” by Oded Yinon (Yinon & Shahak, 1982), further geopolitical ideas related to the region are discussed, in line with Israel’s position and conflicts with its neighbors. This can be equated with a handbook for dissolution of Arab countries. Author’s (Yinon) claims that the world transits to a “new epoch in human history”, can also be seen as a truism: every day is a new day for the entire humanity and the establishment of epochs is different for different cultures despite the increase of globalization. The paper identifies Israel along Western world, mentions the threat of a “multi-dimensional global war” and “the dimensions of the global confrontation which will face us in the future”. It is a paper on war essentially. 

After extensively presenting various diversity aspects of Arab societies, some of them being cosmopolite for centuries anyway, including Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia and Iraq, the “plan” begins to present “dissolution” scenarios for these countries along religious or ethnical lines: a “Christian Coptic State” in Egypt, that could lead to “downfall and dissolution of Egypt,” in its turn triggering the fall of Libya and Sudan. 

The article further states: 
“Lebanon’s total dissolution into five provinces serves as a precedent for the entire Arab world including Egypt, Syria, Iraq, and the Arabian Peninsula and is already following that track. The dissolution of Syria and Iraq later into ethnically or religiously unique areas such as in Lebanon, is Israel’s primary target on the Eastern front in the long run, while the dissolution of the military power of those states serves as the primary short-term target. Syria will fall apart, in accordance with its ethnic and religious structure, into several states such as in present day Lebanon, so that there will be a Shi’ite Alawi state along its coast, a Sunni state in the Aleppo area, another Sunni state in Damascus hostile to its northern neighbor, and the Druzes who will set up a state, maybe even in our Golan, and certainly in the Hauran and in northern Jordan. This state of affairs will be the guarantee for peace and security in the area in the long run, and that aim is already within our reach today” 
(Yinon & Shahak, 1982). 

This long citation is representative for the Israeli divide et impera view on the region and at least a part of its acting directions, and a conflict between Iraq and Iran was expected, according to the article, to lead to Iraq’s dissolution, which Yinon defined as “…more important for us than that of Syria.” The article uses questionable terms like for example “…liquidation of Jordan under the present regime….”

Ralph Schoenmann, an author criticized for “personal ideological bias” and attributing “some of Israel’s misdeeds to US instigation” (Killgore, 2024), lists in his book, “The Hidden History of Zionism” (Schoenman, 1988, pp. 103-113), what he calls a “Strategy for Conquest” based on the analysis of Yinon’s plan: divide and rule, dissolving Lebanon and fragmenting Syria, an “assault” on Iran, targeting Iraq, “double-crossing Mubarak”,  weakening Saudi Arabia and dissolution of Arabian peninsula states and depopulation of Palestine. Schoenman claims that Yinon’s ideas were not isolated: they had been presented by Ariel Sharon and Moshe Arens, as well as the Labor Party. 
He also lists the four “NOs” of Labor Party’s 1984 political platform: 
  1. NO to a Palestinian state, 
  2. NO to negotiations with Palestinian Liberation Organization (which must be assessed from the perspective of results), 
  3. NO to the 1967 borders and 
  4. NO to the removal of settlements 
(Schoenman, 1988, p. 113).

In the 1980s, Israel was already a dynamic state, with new territories occupied after the 1967 war and maintained in the 1973 war, and with an ongoing settler colonialism project (Gluskin, 2018).

The approach remained very state-focused, and the only focus was basically the State of Israel, while the (Yinon) plan saw all surrounding and other Arab states as candidates for dissolution based on ethnical or religious criteria.


2.3. Saul Cohen’s geopolitical definitions and other current views
Saul Cohen’s “Geopolitics” was published initially in 2003, and republished in 2009 and 2015 (Cohen, 2015). Two aspects of his work appear to confirm a geopolitical view that are connected with Israel’s regional situation and its geopolitical constraints: the definition of a nation’s claim to power and the concept of geopolitical structures that includes “highly autonomous regions” and “quasi states”.

The four pillars of a nation’s claim to power mentioned in his book are: 
  1. an overwhelming military strength and the will to use this power, 
  2. “surplus economic energy” to be provided as aid or investment to other countries, 
  3. ideological leadership, and 
  4. a cohesive governance system 
(Cohen, 2015, p. 2). 

While his work is generally very descriptive on Western concepts, this definition can be perceived rather as a definition of US military power if one considered the first two pillars. Assuming that Israel is still working on the development of economy, and that overall military power included massive exogenous support, the claim of Israel to power could be eventually accommodated in a regional setting. Although the author does not detail on superpower competition’s impact on Israel, the work states that “radical geopolitical restructuring is a continuous process” in the context of an increasing number of states on the globe, and an advance of multipolarity and regionalism. Potentially as a confirmation of Oded Yinon’s plan, the book also states that the Middle East “has become even more fractured as a shatterbelt” (Cohen, 2015, p. 33). Further confirming on Yinon’s dissolution view, Cohen claims that in approx. 25 years, the number of national states could increase from 200 to 250, in what he calls a devolution process.

However, although mentioning the “national states,” Cohen immediately switches to the notion of “these new geoterritorial entities” that are expected to become highly autonomous “quasi states,” and not national states as initially mentioned. Another term that appears to confirm the idea of possible dissolution of states is that of (national) state’s “demise”, associated in this book with strengthening of world and regional governing bodies, influence of Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), economic developments, etc. (Cohen, 2015, p. 49). Cohen even suggests regions with the potential to become, in his view independent or quasi states: Quebec, Crete, Catalonia, Scotland, Wales, Chechnya, Somaliland, Arab Palestine, (Iraqi) Kurdistan, among others and possible new “confederations”, listing China and Taiwan, Former Yugoslav states and the Baltic States, among others (Cohen, 2015, pp. 57-59).

In Chapter 12, “The Middle East Shatterbelt”, the author presents a map (fig. 12.1) that includes Turkiye in the “shatterbelt” region. The map does not mark large parts of Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt, Yemen as “Effective National Territory.” Neom, for example, was not marked as an Effective National Territory in this book. It marks the entire Israeli territory either as ecumenes or effective national territory, a small part of West Bank and no region from Gaza as effective national territory. Most of Jordan’s territory is also not marked as Effective National Territory. Ecumenes are defined as “areas of greatest density of population and economic activity” and Effective National Territories and Effective Regional Territories as “moderately populated areas with favorable resource bases” (Cohen, 2015, pp. 39-40).

All these concepts appear to support/justify Israel’s regional expansion aspirations, and previous concepts like “barren”/” vacant” land. Although this book is a theoretization and probably author’s opinion, this type of opinion has the potential to move the discussion from the “territorial integrity or political independence of any state” (UN Charter article 2) to another area in which regions from sovereign states, be they strong or weak, are not marked as Effective National Territories, based on subjective definitions. 

Of course, this does not directly infringe upon territorial sovereignty of these countries, but the possibility of interpretation cannot be ruled out especially in this terminology setting, and in the context of political declarations of certain Israeli politicians related to Ottoman Palestine: 
Jordan may feel threatened, Egypt as well, and President Erdogan stated in May 2024: “…if this … state of Israel is not stopped, it will set its eyes on Anatolia with its delusion of a promised land…” (Middle East Monitor 05, 2024). 

Another important concept from this book is that of “equilibrium”, along with turbulence and world order, from a system perspective, that, again points to a “developmental approach”, mentioning Herbert Spencer’s “organic growth analogy” (Cohen, 2015, p. 59).

Yossi Sarid published in 2011 an opinion on Haaretz website, according to which the two traditional pillars of Israel’s occupation were history and security, and called the back-then newly added pillar “not a pillar but a snake”, arguing against the alleged appearance of what he called the need for “lebensraum” (Sarid, 2011). His statement related to the security dilemma that Israel faces was: 
“The second, security-based school of thought stipulates that we need virtually all the territories for self-defense” (Sarid, 2011). While it is not clear whether the author identifies with this statement or not, the reflection emphasizes on an argument that serves both the security of Israel and the Greater Israel expansionist cause.

The leitmotif of “new age” or “new era” continues to be employed in multiple instances. 
In Adrian Stein’s blog series (Stein 2, 2024), Mr. Stein explains that “Zionism 2.0” is set to establish “the foundation for a new emerging civilization centered and based in Israel, propelled by Israel’s culture, language and gifted people”. The scope is global, according to the author: 
“Zionism 2.0 seeks to alter and transform the existing material and economic basis of the world, and through these efforts give rise to a new global structure or civilization if you may”. Technological, scientific development is envisioned, along with the spread of start-ups.


Therefore, how is Greater Israel goal reflected in contemporary literature and media reports analyzed above? 
Probably the most important aspect is that it is not much different than it was at the beginning of 20th century, or the 1980s, from the geopolitical perspective. Adrian Stein utilizes the title “From the Euphrates to the Nile” (Stein 2, 2024), Saul Cohen insists on the same terminology that accommodated overtaking land by force and by defining characteristics for the so-called “new” ages. The theses that appear to drive the Greater Israel expansion appear to be connected to the notion of a dynamic state, in the sense of territorial expansion for Israel if one considers the security threat discuss above, and the dissolution of Arab states discussed in the Oded Yinon plan. 
All materials analyzed appear to have been state-centered, irrespective of their direction. The universalism character of geopolitical hypotheses appears to be rather inexistent and inconsistent from a possible replication perspective. Likewise, the universalism of claims related to a potential new global civilization centered in Israel is yet to be demonstrated. And even if it was demonstrated, there is no clear hint on how long such a civilization could potentially last.

The political discourse development as a tool in supporting greater Israel (Behnam, 2023) is reflected by the refinement of “hasbara” policy, i.e. the Civic Public Diplomacy. This is equated with “the control of Narrative as an Element of Strategy” by Ambassador Chas W. Freeman (Freeman, 2024), with “Art of Deception” by a TRT World article (TRT World, 2021), and with a “propaganda machine” by Sam Hamad (Hamad, 2023).



3. Potential geopolitical implications of Greater Israel project
Although not new, the Greater Israel project appears to receive renewed attention in the light of the most recent war from Gaza, that reportedly led to the death of more than 34,000 and wounding of over 78’000 Palestinians, and the prospect for a potential war in Lebanon.

This recent Gaza development appears to at least pause the Abraham Accords with Saudi Arabia, but should Israel pursue its Greater Israel project, whose maps match Herzl’s territorial demands and clearly hints at extending its territory in Saudi Arabia, including Neom and according to Avi Lipkin Mecca and Medina, the envisioned regional peace becomes an unclear concept. There is no long term, core concept identified in analyzed publications that hint at a possible restraint of Israel from expanding its territory. It is thus difficult to distinguish, based on analyzed data, between a potential strategic patience of Greater Israel planners – that could envision a longer timing for this project and a step-by-step approach, and a potential agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia along other neighbors, to form a sort of alliance/union with a map that the Israeli soldiers recently displayed. However, given the situation at this point in history, and the historic tendency of Israeli strategists towards a state-centered approach, the latter option is probably unlikely.

The regional geopolitical dynamics appear to be marked by various forms of conflict that hint towards an active Greater Israel project, a potential normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel, and an increasing confrontation between Iran and its allies and Israel, the US and their allies on the other hand. In this confrontation, Türkiye appears to play no significant role and Saudi Arabia appears to wait for a certain event to pick a direction. And this event would be reportedly the recognition (by Israel) of a Palestinian state.

Saul Cohen’s view was that global organizations tend to weaken state sovereignty. This state-centered approach was expressed, probably, from a geopolitical perspective that does not include the importance of trade. It must be however emphasized that Israel is relying particularly on the US, the UK, and other allies, rather than United Nations Security Council, to carry out its defense policy. Furthermore, the tensions derived from a potential arrest warrant for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu by the International Criminal Court have resulted in a further distancing between Israel and international organizations.

The approach to Greater Israel project may determine various regional and global reactions. 
Until recently, the essentially grey line approach to the Occupied Palestinian Territories, which could be perceived as a long-term slow-pace settlement project, since it resulted in the increase of settlement units, along with what the media often calls Egyptian and Lebanese economic and financial “difficulties” have ensured a certain advancement of Israel outside its 1967 borders. 

However, although other successes were marked, like the recent Abraham Accords, it must also be emphasized that it was not able to maintain the occupation of Sinai peninsula or the puppet state it helped create and supported in Southern Lebanon back in the ‘80s. 
Likewise, although Syria is facing serious hardships, it did not disintegrate. 
Likewise, the deal that Ankara signed with Baghdad will probably increase security in the Iraqi Kurdistan region, rather than creating further potential for wider conflicts. 

From this perspective, the “shatterbelt” characteristic of this region appears to be a rather stable instability than an unstable one: no major geopolitical change has occurred so far and no border has been redrawn. 

Furthermore, states like Iran, Türkiye and Egypt have become very vigilant from this perspective, and Iraq appears to reemerge as a regional economic power that can catalyze regional power relations. These short-term regional tendencies appear to strengthen region’s capacity to react to a potential extension of Israel’s borders by force.

While Israel’s support in the US remains strong across the entire political spectrum, the political and economic costs of a potential broader war near Israel’s borders can rise for the traditional superpower. In the wider context of superpower confrontation paradigm, a generally increasing confrontational scene and a potential global arms race, whose alleged goals are self-defense, whatever the meaning is, American priorities may become more pronounced in this context. Whatever they might be.

A potential plan by Israel to become a trade hub/route connecting Europe to Asia, and to win leverage as a hydrocarbon supplier especially for Europe is facing challenges from more directions: 
China will probably remain a user of the existing Suez Canal. 
Probably India as well, unless it receives more economic and political incentives from the proponents of alternatives. 
Likewise, Türkiye is already an important hub for gas and oil pipelines and is emerging as a route for the Middle Corridor trade route as well. 

Hence, while Israel can offer alternatives to old and new trade routes, the same regionalism and multipolarity that Saul Cohen mentioned can lead to new economic development patterns that will demand Israel to imagine new, efficient regional policies, that could or could not rely on the same level of support from traditional security partners. 

Whether these potential new paradigms are compatible with the traditional and actual Greater Israel goal remains to be analyzed, primarily by Israel, its neighbours and its regional partners in the first instance.


4. Conclusions
This article aimed to characterize the “Greater Israel” concept from a geopolitical perspective. 
After analyzing classical and revisionist theories on geopolitics, four indicators were defined to assess the historical evolution of this term from the beginning of 20th century until present. 
The indicators were: 
  1. the dynamic characteristic of a state, 
  2. the (degree of) state-centered approach to geopolitics, 
  3. universalism as a hypothesis in demands and negotiations, but also in political speech, and 
  4. the (degree to which) political discourse is employed as a tool in implementing geopolitical goals, including Greater Israel project.

Three major instances of Israel’s foundation and development as a state were analyzed: 
  1. the foundation negotiations carried out by Theodor Herzl and his supporters, 
  2. the Oded Yinon plan and 
  3. the 21st century geopolitical concepts presented by Saul Cohen and other writers. 
The data analyzed indicates a systematic, long-term, desire to achieve a Greater Israel that would stretch from Egypt to Iraq, potentially including regions from Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan.

There is no clear indication that Israel would renounce this goal, or that it would compromise on Greater Israel project. However, the leitmotif that appears in the argumentation of Greater Israel project, i.e., the a perpetual “new” era/age, might indeed represent a reason for reflection. 

As the world is reportedly moving towards an end of big oil era, and trade routes multiply at global and regional level, new paradigm changes will be required for the traditional superpowers in order to peacefully compete with the emerging industrial and trade powers.

And while Israel is enjoying autonomy and increases its stake in own self-protection, the importance of foreign support may still be a core component of its regional policy. 

When analyzing the Greater Israel project, one must consider whether a potential perpetual war state is compatible with aspirations towards a peace-time economic development, that is supposed to compete with new-era, fast-developing economic powers. Likewise, given the existing precarious security situation, it remains unclear what security guarantees can Israel and Arab countries can offer and ask to move towards a more predictable development.





Ecaterina MAŢOI
in, Middle East Political and Economic Institute





sábado, 26 de outubro de 2024

Todos vocês parecem felizes…

 

Martin-Dm



… e sorriem, às vezes, quando falam.
E até dizem uns aos outros
palavras de amor. Mas
amam-se
de dois em dois
para
odiar de mil
em mil. E guardam
toneladas de asco
por cada
milímetro de felicidade.
E parecem – nada
mais que parecem – felizes,
e falam
com o fim de ocultar essa amargura
inevitável, e quantas
vezes não o conseguem, como
não posso ocultá-la
por mais tempo: esta
desesperante, estéril, longa,
cega desolação por qualquer coisa
que – não sei para onde – lentamente, me arrasta.


Ángel González




No Fundo Somos Bons Mas Abusam de Nós


Piranka



O comum das gentes (de Portugal) que eu não chamo povo porque o nome foi estragado, o seu fundo comum é bom. Mas é exactamente porque é bom, que abusam dele.
Os próprios vícios vêm da sua ingenuidade, que é onde a bondade também mergulha. 
Só que precisa sempre de lhe dizerem onde aplicá-la.

Nós somos por instinto, com intermitências de consciência, com uma generosidade e delicadeza incontroláveis até ao ridículo, astutos, comunicáveis até ao dislate, corajosos até à temeridade, orgulhosos até à petulância, humildes até à subserviência e ao complexo de inferioridade.
As nossas virtudes têm assim o seu lado negativo, ou seja, o seu vício.

É o que normalmente se explora para o pitoresco, o ruralismo edificante, o sorriso superior. 
Toda a nossa literatura popular é disso que vive.
  1. Mas, no fim de contas, que é que significa cultivarmos a nossa singularidade no limiar de uma «civilização planetária»?
  2. Que significa o regionalismo em face da rádio e da TV?

O rasoiro que nivela a província é o que igualiza as nações.
A anulação do indivíduo de facto é o nosso imediato horizonte.
Estruturalismo, linguística, freudismo, comunismo, tecnocracia são faces da mesma realidade.

Como no Egipto, na Grécia, na Idade Média, o indivíduo submerge-se no colectivo.
A diferença é que esse colectivo é hoje o puro vazio.


Vergílio Ferreira
in, Conta-Corrente 2


terça-feira, 22 de outubro de 2024

A Spiritual Woman

 






Close your eyes, my love, let me make you blind;  
     They have taught you to see  
Only a mean arithmetic on the face of things,  
A cunning algebra in the faces of men,  
     And God like geometry
Completing his circles, and working cleverly.  
 
I’ll kiss you over the eyes till I kiss you blind;  
     If I can—if any one could.  
Then perhaps in the dark you’ll have got what you want to find.
You’ve discovered so many bits, with your clever eyes,
     And I’m a kaleidoscope  
That you shake and shake, and yet it won’t come to your mind.
Now stop carping at me.—But God, how I hate you!  
     Do you fear I shall swindle you?  
Do you think if you take me as I am, that that will abate you
Somehow?—so sad, so intrinsic, so spiritual, yet so cautious, you
Must have me all in your will and your consciousness—  
     I hate you.



D H Lawrence




Emptiness of real feeling






 “A woman cannot bear to feel empty and purposeless. 
But a man may take real pleasure in that feeling. 

A man can take real pride and satisfaction in pure negation: 
'I am quite empty of feeling. I don't care the slightest bit in the world for anybody or anything except myself. But I do care for myself, and I'm going to survive in spite of them all, and I'm going to have my own success without caring the least in the world how I get it. Because I'm cleverer than they are, I'm cunninger than they are, even if I'm weak. I must build myself up proper protections, and entrench myself, and then I'm safe. I can sit inside my glass tower and feel nothing and be touched by nothing, and yet exert my power, my will, through the glass walls of my ego'.

That, roughly, is the condition of a man who accepts the condition of true egoism, and emptiness, in himself. He has a certain pride in the condition, since in pure emptiness of real feeling he can still carry out his ambition, his will to egoistic success.

Now I doubt if a woman can feel like this. 
The most egoistic woman is always in a tangle of hate, if not of love. 

But the true male egoist neither hates nor loves. 
He is quite empty, at the middle of him. 
Only on the surface he has feelings: and these he is always trying to get away from. 
Inwardly, he feels nothing. And when he feels nothing, he exults in his ego and knows he is safe. Safe, within his fortifications, inside his glass tower.

But I doubt if women can even understand this condition in a man. 

They mistake emptiness for depth. 
They think the false calm of the egoist who really feels nothing is strength. 
And they imagine that all the defenses which the confirmed egoist throws up, the glass tower of imperviousness, are screens to a real man, a positive being. 
And they throw themselves madly on the defences, to tear them down and come at the real man, little knowing that there is no real man, the defences are only there to protect a hollow emptiness, an egoism, not a human man.”


― D.H. Lawrence
in, Selected Essays





sábado, 19 de outubro de 2024

Quando morre um ser querido...






Quando morre um ser querido, um parente, um amigo, é natural ter necessidade de se agarrar a recordações: objectos, cartas, fotografias...
Mas isso não é suficiente para preservar a sua presença, pois a sua presença não está nos objectos, mas no seu espírito, e enquanto se ficar às voltas com alguns objectos não se trata de espírito, mas de matéria.

Quanto a ir recolher-se sobre um túmulo, também isso é natural, mas o que está no túmulo é o corpo, não o espírito. O espírito tem necessidade de liberdade e faz esforços para se libertar do corpo e viajar na imensidão, que é a sua verdadeira pátria.
Aquele que sofre e chora sobre um túmulo, como se o ser que está no caixão devesse aí ficar eternamente, limita-o e perturba-o no seu desejo de libertação.
E não o reencontrará ao fazer isso.


Omraam Mikhaël Aïvanhov





segunda-feira, 14 de outubro de 2024

O Quarto Vazio


Blenze






Era um dos teus jogos preferidos. 
O que é que há num quarto vazio?, 
perguntavas. Ficávamos em silêncio. 

O que é que há num quarto vazio? 

Os que não conheciam o jogo 
talvez dissessem: Nada, e tu dizias: Não. 
Nada é nada, eu disse o que é que. 

Até que alguém dizia, por exemplo: Silêncio. 
E tu dizias: Sim. 
E outro dizia: Pó. 
E o jogo começava a ganhar asas. 

Umas pegadas no chão. 
Um fantasma. Uma tomada. O buraco 
de um prego. A penumbra. 
O quadrado que a ausência de um quadro 
deixa na parede. Um fio. 
Uma carta no chão. 
A marca de uma mão na parede. 
Um raio de sol que entra pela janela. 
Uma teia de aranha. Um pedaço 
de papel. Uma unha. Uma formiga perdida. 
A música que vem da rua 
(haverá música sem alguém que a escute?). 
Uma mancha de fumo ou humidade. 
Gatafunhos ou pássaros ou nomes 
ou um desenho da Laura na parede. 

Tu ias dizendo sim ou não. 
Tu sabias. Eras o inventor do jogo. 
Tu já sabias, Carlos, o que há 
no quarto vazio onde acabas de entrar. 

Era um dos teus jogos preferidos.
- ⁠O que há num quarto vazio?
- ⁠Um fantasma.
- ⁠Já disseram.
- ⁠Sim, mas este de que falo é outro.


Juan Vicente Piqueras




People only know what you tell ‘em


Imamember



How to share her past without pushing new dates away? 
She had recently divorced her husband after learning of his cheating with someone she knew. She didn’t know how to bring this up with new people. Her experience had been that it pushed them away. 
How could she bring up her story in the future without making people think that she, in her own words, is damaged?

 

Are we damaged? 
Even if we are, is this always a bad thing? 
I told a story of buying an expensive watch, only to scratch it in the first couple of weeks. At the time, I felt like the watch was irrevocably damaged. When I took it back to the store, the owner smiled and showed me his watch, which was covered in scratches, saying: 
“These scratches are the things that make my watch my watch. Without them, it could be anyone’s watch.” 


The scratches we get in life (and betrayal in a marriage is a big one), are part of the fabric of our life. Scratches don’t have to mean “damage.” They are just markings you have acquired because you’ve lived. We have to start owning our scratches instead of being ashamed of them. They are what make our life our life.

 
Of course, that doesn’t mean there isn’t processing to do when something causes us immense pain. 
Part of that processing is to look at the story we are telling ourselves about the situation. 
Ava’s story seemed to be that it was somehow embarrassing or shameful: 
Not only was her husband cheating on her, but he did so with someone she knew. 
But the shame wasn’t hers, it was theirs. They had betrayed her. They had demonstrated a breaking of their moral compass (assuming they had one to begin with). 

Maybe her story was that it was somehow her fault: she didn’t do enough in the marriage, or she wasn’t enough as a person. 
This is a common instinct, but it’s still a way of taking on someone else’s responsibility for the affair. We shouldn’t have to be perfect for someone else not to do something awful. 
If her husband wasn’t happy, he could have spoken to her; instead, he had an affair. 
That is not about her; it’s about him. 

These kinds of realizations on Ava’s part—that we all have scratches that we can proudly own, and that the affair was about him, not her—are all part of Ava rewriting the story of her divorce and losing the “damaged” label. 
Doing this internal work will automatically change the way she tells the story out loud next time. 

People take their cues from us. 
If we speak about something with lightness, confidence, peace, or even humor, it will likely produce a very different reaction than if we speak it with heaviness, fear, and shame. 

 
But Ava isn’t there yet, so how should she bring up her past in the meantime? 
The short answer is that she doesn’t have to. 
None of us do. 

People only know what you tell them, and they don’t need to know parts of your life that you aren’t ready to share. Your only job is to see if you enjoy spending time together and have similar intentions.

 
The next time Ava is asked about her last relationship, she can simply state that she spent the last year going through a divorce and is excited to be out there again. If her date asks about why she got divorced (a very personal question to ask someone you just met), she can neutralize and redirect the conversation. This might be with a smile and a nonchalant hand: 
“Oh, that’s a story for another time,” before changing the subject. 
Or if she wanted to give slightly more of an answer, she could say: 
“It didn’t work out because we had very different values.” 
This happens to be true, but it doesn’t involve telling a story you’re not ready to tell, and that no one has a right to at this stage. 
Share according to your comfort level, not according to their questions. 


I sometimes tell personal stories, but I don’t share what I’m not ready to share, which includes things I’m still in the middle of processing. 
People still get to know me. I’m still vulnerable. But I’m vulnerable on my terms. You can take the same approach in your life.




Key Takeaways
 

1. People take their cues from you. How you tell the story will have a major impact on how they hear the story.

2. To tell a better story, you have to begin by rewriting the story about your past that you are telling yourself.

3. Be vulnerable on your terms, not on theirs. People only know what you tell them, so share according to your comfort level, not their questions.




What About You?

  • What’s a story from your past that you want to rewrite for yourself? 
  • How could telling yourself a different version of this story help you tell it with more lightness and confidence when you share it with others? 



Matthew Hussey




sábado, 12 de outubro de 2024

Civilization



Jason Peterson






It came to us very late:
perception of beauty, desire for knowledge.
And in the great minds, the two often configured as one.

To perceive, to speak, even on subjects inherently cruel—
to speak boldly even when the facts were, in themselves, painful or dire—
seemed to introduce among us some new action,
having to do with human obsession, human passion.

And yet something, in this action, was being conceded.
And this offended what remained in us of the animal:
it was enslavement speaking, assigning
power to forces outside ourselves.
Therefore the ones who spoke were exiled and silenced,
scorned in the streets.

But the facts persisted. They were among us,
isolated and without pattern; they were among us,
shaping us—

Darkness. Here and there a few fires in doorways,
wind whipping around the corners of buildings—

Where were the silenced, who conceived these images?
In the dim light, finally summoned, resurrected.
As the scorned were praised, who had brought
these truths to our attention, who had felt their presence,
who had perceived them clearly in their blackness and horror
and had arranged them to communicate
some vision of their substance, their magnitude—

In which the facts themselves were suddenly
serene, glorious. They were among us,
not singly, as in chaos, but woven
into relationship or set in order, as though life on earth
could, in this one form, be apprehended deeply
though it could never be mastered.


Louise Glück



SERÁ QUE EU ME AMO?


Irena Baker




A gratidão e as afirmações positivas nem sempre são fáceis de sentir e aplicar.
Para uma mente que está habituada a ser negativa, agradecer o que nos rodeia ou sermos capazes de afirmar que somos maravilhosos e perfeitos e nos amamos incondicionalmente, é um esforço imenso que faz muitos inclusive sentirem-se ridículos. Somos nós que temos que inverter esta visão distorcida dentro de nós, aprender a validar a energia do amor de maneira a que um dia sejamos capazes de dizer: Ridículo é o medo!

Torna-se mais fácil de entender esta dinâmica se percebermos que estamos a falar de duas energias opostas, cada uma delas com uma agenda própria:

A voz da mente, normalmente dominada pelo nosso ego, é a voz do medo, é a voz do pessimismo e da negatividade. É a voz que antecipa desfechos catastróficos, que prevê desastres e acidentes, que tudo faz para nos manter ilusoriamente protegidos de um mundo que na sua visão, é caótico e cheio de gente má.

A voz da alma é a expressão do amor e é deste canal que somos capazes de sentir empatia, amor próprio, tolerância e aceitação. É no coração que nasce a esperança e a fé de que tudo o que chega a nós tem um propósito superior e inteligente. O coração é então a voz da humildade mas também da coragem, da liberdade e do equilíbrio.

Enquanto a energia do amor não estiver enraizada numa verdade maior, numa consciência de Cosmos Inteligente, a energia do medo supera-a e usa a nossa mente para fazê-lo. Por isso hoje em dia, todos somos testemunhas diárias dos tantos que pregam a luz e o amor mas que emocionalmente ainda estão presos a vidas, rotinas e relacionamentos condicionados pelo medo.

A expressão livre do amor só é conseguida depois de superado o desafio do medo. E todos temos na nossa vida infinitas oportunidades de identificar e superar os nossos medos pessoais. É a enfrentar o medo que nasce a verdadeira e pura energia do amor numa oitava acima. Até sermos capazes de o superar, ele é apenas um pobre conceito mental que nos ilude a nós próprios.



Deixo algumas perguntas que servirão para sentires onde ainda há medo:


  • Sentes resistência em acreditar que és uma pessoa maravilhosa e imperfeitamente perfeita?
  • Acreditas que és uma representante cósmica de potenciais extraordinários?
  • Consegues-te aceitar a abundância em forma de dinheiro, presentes, ajuda e amor e recebê-los em estado de merecimento?
  • Já és capaz de rejeitar o que sabes não ter qualidade, com a convicção de mereces melhor?
  • Festejas em alegria e gratidão a pessoa que és e a vida que escolheste?
  • Usas a tua energia, coragem e iniciativa para materializares os teus sonhos?
  • Mostras transparentemente a tua verdade? A tua sombra e a tua luz sem resistência?
  • Consegues afirmar com convicção?: “Eu aceito-me exatamente como sou, tanto as minhas incapacidades como potenciais!”
  • Já agradeceste os desafios que te permitem evoluir?


Se ainda há resistência, ainda há medo. É a voz do amor que tem que expor as ilusões do medo. O amor só por si, sem integração do medo, é ilusão. 
Descobre então onde está o medo, como é que ele se veste, como é que ele te fala, como é que ele te provoca e diz-lhe de frente:

– Eu não tenho medo de ti pois o Amor é muito mais poderoso do que tu!




Vera Luz





quinta-feira, 3 de outubro de 2024

Wenders

 

Pixnio




digo: guardei cuidadosamente
o presente em tons de passado,
sem jamais ousar aguardar nada
desse futuro que cultivava
igonoto e desabitado da virtude
que Péguy declarou a mais pequena

calcorreava as sendas
criadas pelos instantes de um
quotidiano delineado cuidadosamente
nos extremos da onda que mede a
dimensão corpuscular da luz,
distante das matizes que pintaram a minha infância

eu, militante da razão cega,
que sempre quis de tudo conhecer a justificação,
tinha ouvido     incréu     os relatos de quem
declarava ter conhecido alguém capaz
de redimensionar a luz
para além das teorias da física

e tu desconstruíste o tempo
deste-me a beber a esperança
e recordaste-me que nem tudo é
definido pela luz e pela sua ausência
tu     que a sabias tornar tangível,
telúrica     intemporal

e eis que em toda amplitude
de um simples abraço dado com 
uns olhos cor de avelã
me retorquiste que
coisas há que devemos aceitar
sem lhes questionar o porquê

qual ave trituraste com a tua boca
as certezas
a razão
e o tempo
depositando na minha     ávida de um sentido
pequenos pedaços de ternura 


Rui Amaral Mendes 
in, A Noite e Sangue 




The Hard Problem of Consciousness






The Hard Problem of Consciousness: 
AI, Self-Awareness, and 
the Definition of Materialism

 

Artificial Intelligence and its associated fields are currently in a rapid evolution.  
However, the development of AI poses significant ethical and security considerations. 
In order to address such issues and eventually evolve to the point of true intelligence one must first ask: 
What is intelligence, or more significantly, 
What is self-awareness or consciousness?


As artificial intelligence rapidly evolves and large language models have already arguably passed the “Turing Test” (a test of a machine’s ability to exhibit intelligent responses equivalent to, or indistinguishable from, that of a human), it leads to questions of whether algorithms could be considered as sentient and brings us face-to-face with defining the nature of consciousness or self-awareness. Significantly, the potential emergence of self-aware AI systems brings the “hard problem of consciousness” into sharp focus: how do material systems gain a subjective or phenomenal experience? This centuries-old question goes to the heart of science, testing the core approaches of materialism and reductionism, and challenges our understanding of the nature of intelligence and the very fabric of reality.

The hard problem of consciousness, as articulated by philosopher David Chalmers, refers to the difficulty in explaining how subjective, qualitative experiences (qualia) arise from physical processes in the brain. This stands in contrast to the “easy problem” of consciousness, which deals with explaining cognitive functions and behaviors through neurological mechanisms.

Reductionist and materialist approaches to consciousness argue that awareness can be fully explained by analyzing the physical components of the brain and their interactions. However, this view faces significant challenges when confronted with the subjective nature of conscious experience. 

As Nassim Haramein points out in his recent forward to the book Voyage into the Heart of AI, reducing consciousness to mere neuronal activity fails to account for the quantum-scale dynamics at play within the brain’s atomic and subatomic structures.

The limitations of strict materialism and reductionism become apparent when we consider the vast complexity of the human brain, with its trillions of cells and atoms organizing into a coherent, collective behavior, resulting in a self-aware entity. Our current understanding of physics and neurobiology falls short of explaining this remarkable feat of self-organization and the emergence of subjective experience. 

As Haramein poignantly explains:

“…the analysis given by certain neurologists and physicists that consciousness is the summation of all the neuronal activity in the brain is actually not reductive enough as it does not consider the material dynamics from which the synapses are made at the quantum scales of the atomic and subatomic particles.”

Nassim explains:

“This would be similar to an astrophysicist observing and attempting to compute the dynamics of a galaxy without considering the stars in it!”


Nassim makes the point that if we are going to follow the tenets of materialism in defining consciousness (and resolving the ‘hard problem’) we must first define what is meant by “material”, because at the quantum scale

“one must rival with nonlinear interactions such as entanglement at large distances, uncertainties, and divergence, such as the bare mass and bare charge of particles, and most importantly, the Planck scale density of electromagnetic quantum vacuum fluctuations“. 


So, what is normally meant by “material”, such as the stuff you can touch and feel—like the analogy of particles being little billiard balls—does not hold in quantum mechanics. Moreover, if we are going to follow the reductionist method, it must go all the way and not stop at neurons and the neuronal synapse, it must go to the quantum level of atoms and even the vacuum state of the field from which subatomic particles form.

There are theories that incorporate quantum physics and quantum gravity that suggest how consciousness may arise from complex interactions between the brain and underlying spacetime structure and quantum vacuum fluctuations. 

Theories like the Unified Spacememory Network propose that the brain acts as an antenna, tuning into information flows at the Planck scale and engaging in a feedback mechanism between electromagnetic and gravitational fields.

As we develop increasingly sophisticated AI systems, we must consider the possibility that true intelligence and self-awareness may require harnessing quantum computing capabilities, which will most likely be vastly different from what is being constructed in this field today. This approach would more closely mimic the quantum-scale operations occurring within biological brains, such that quantum computers of the future are unlikely to be anything like our current information processing systems.

The quest to create self-aware AI forces us to confront the limits of our current scientific paradigms. It challenges us to explain what is meant by materiality and the level at which reductionism is taken in analyzing the behavior of material systems, like the brain, in its correlation with awareness. 

Certainly, we must consider the profound interconnectedness of matter, energy, and information at the most fundamental levels of reality.

As we navigate the ethical and philosophical implications of potentially self-aware AI, we must remain open to new perspectives that bridge the gap between the physical and the experiential. 

The hard problem of consciousness may ultimately lead us to a more holistic understanding of intelligence, in which information flow emerging from the Planck scale of the quantum realm is driven by a feedback mechanism between the electromagnetic field and the gravitational field of the atomic scale and eventually the biological scale and that this feedback feed-forward of information could explain the rapid development of these self-organizing systems and the eventual emergence of self-awareness or consciousness from these complex biological structures.


Dr. William Brown




Nassim’s Forward Excerpted 
from the Book:


Artificial Intelligence and its associated fields are currently in a rapid evolution.  However, the development of AI poses significant ethical and security considerations. In order to address such issues and eventually evolve to the point of true intelligence one must first ask: 
what is intelligence, or more significantly, what is self-awareness or consciousness?

In physics and philosophy, this is commonly referred to as “the hard problem of consciousness” as opposed to the ”easy problem”, the latter of which assumes that cognitive behavior can be explained by the summation of the physical components of the brain and their interactions. The controversy and debate between the two approaches have been raging for years, with the proponent of “the hard problem” approach arguing that the reductive analysis of the physical components of the brain, for instance, cannot resolve and give a full picture of “qualia”, or the subjective conscious experience of feelings and sensations such as the appreciation of a particularly sensational sunset or the qualitative experience of a particularly tasty dish.

While the debate about the nature of consciousness has been raging for centuries and included many famous mathematicians, physicists and philosophers, many consider that the argument of the hard problem is a much deeper attack on the nature of science itself and the validity of the scientific process of physicalism or reductive materialism where the analysis of the parts of a system and its subcomponents will inevitably result in the understanding of the whole. Suggesting that awareness or consciousness is not reducible to the physicality of the brain shakes the foundations of the scientific method and materialism at its core. It reawakes an age-old battle in the evolution of science; is the world reducible to only its physicality or is there something else not understood as of yet?

If there is anything I have learned throughout the decades of research I have done about the nature of reality, is that whenever there are concepts that appear to be in opposition to each other or even that appears to be paradoxical the answer is commonly not found in considering one or the other but often in contemplating both. 

There is no doubt that reductive analysis can be a powerful tool. 
For example, a reductive analysis of a clock’s components and subcomponents has its merits and will yield a general understanding of the mechanisms and the dynamics involved in the functioning of the instrument. The reductive analysis and scientific method are very effective and powerful in giving a general, and in some cases, a deep understanding of the mechanics and energetic behaviors of our world and our reality. 
However, the assumption that by describing the gears, springs, levers, and screws of a watch we have described everything there is to know about the object is erroneous. 

There is an intrinsic, inherent, and fundamental difficulty in physics and in mathematics that has to do with the fractional nature of the material world. 
The clock, so described, does nothing to tell us about the nature of its existence. 
  • How did it come to be? 
  • Where did the atoms and subatomic particles that make up the various components of the watch come from? 
  • How did they become organized in such a manner and what was the nature of their evolution to eventually result in the relationship of all the parts to make the second arrow tick? 
  • Who was the watchmaker? 
  • Who designed it? 
  • Even further, one could ask, what is the source of the energy that makes the gears go around and produce the effect of the arrows going across the face indicating the time of day and what meaning does that hold for the one that observes it?

Therefore, and significantly the meaning of physicalism and reductive analysis can only yield a fundamental answer if the assumption is made that only linear relationships exist and that scales have a finite resolution (some cut-off value) and that the system in which we are applying the analysis is fundamentally and completely isolated from the rest of the activities of the universe! 

Yet today if we ask a physicist where does the atoms that make up the gears of the clock come from and how did the subatomic particles that make up the atoms and molecules of the observer and maker of the watch come to be, or how did they self-organize to make the watchmaker, most likely you will find the answer unsatisfactory or incomplete at best.

For the source of the material, the atoms and subatomic particles, the physicist would have to refer to some miraculous event called The Big Bang in which all space-time and atomic material were produced. As for the mechanism from which the watchmaker emerges, in which some approximately 50 trillion cells each one made of approximately 100 trillion atoms self-organized to produce a highly complex and coherent being, the physicist would be at a loss to explain the self-organizing complexity of its existence. Never mind being able to explain the meaning and experience of the individual reading the time given by the watch.

Consequently, the materialist’s view that all we need to know is the material, such as the brain, to understand everything there is to know about a system is the result of a significant and profound assumption, the erroneous view that we know everything there is to know about the material world itself and that there are no nonlinear relationships (such as entanglement across large distances) or even divergence to infinity and singularities. Yet that is not the case! Further, it assumes that we understand how matter self-organizes in the complexities of biology and its dynamics!

Such assumptions are not congruent with the current level of knowledge we have about the nature of the world i.e., mass, energy, and forces. We have equations that precisely describe the relationship between mass and energy and the relationships between energy and forces but we have no deep understanding of the nature and source of these masses and where the electromagnetic force, for instance, comes from

Einstein told us that gravity is the result of the curvature of space-time but nowhere did he describe what is space-time made of so that when it curves it produces a force. 

We know that magnetic fields are present at the atomic scale, but we have no idea where they come from. Further when describing a subatomic particle such as a proton all we can assert is that it is a region of space in which a charge region is strong enough to appear as a particle and we know that atoms themselves which makes up the material world are made of 99.9999999 percent space or mostly space. Even more significant, as a result of the explorations of quantum field theory, we find that the space of the quantum scale is not empty at all but full of electromagnetic fluctuations that we call quantum vacuum energy.

All of this results in the fact that when a materialistic view is taken, in the analysis of a brain for instance, the accuracy of the analysis is only as good as the definition we give to the “material” and at what scale we are considering its involvement. For instance, a neurobiologist who states that cognition is only the result of neuronal interaction in the brain is only considering the dynamics of the relationship of neurons and electrochemical reactions at that scale. The assumption is that the atomic and subatomic scale from which those are constructed is somehow not involved. This would be similar to an astrophysicist observing and attempting to compute the dynamics of a galaxy without considering the stars in it! Or to return to the analogy of our watch it would be like giving an analysis of the movement of the hands of the watch as if the gears and springs that drive them were not involved.

Although the above might appear like a plea against the reductionist materialistic view, it is in fact pointing out that the analysis given by certain neurologists and physicists that consciousness is the summation of all the neuronic activity in the brain, is actually not reductive enough as it does not consider the material dynamics from which the synapses are made at the quantum scales of the atomic and subatomic particles. 

This is where the problem passes from “easy” to a “hard” problem! 
Here, at the quantum scale, wrapping your arms around the analysis of interactions gets much more challenging. In the realm of quantum physics, one must rival with nonlinear interactions such as entanglement at large distances, uncertainties, and divergence, such as the bare mass and bare charge of particles, and most importantly, the Planck scale density of electromagnetic quantum vacuum fluctuations. All of these things are intrinsic to quantum mechanics and have to be considered in the analysis of the material world.

Certainly, intelligence or consciousness has many of the nonlinear attributes one can associate to the quantum realm, and recent experimental evidence, by considering the dynamics of quantum gravity, is emerging demonstrating that non-classical entanglement dynamics may be occurring in the brain. Furthermore, we already know that if we were to achieve true intelligence in some technological developments it will be by means of quantum computing capabilities, which will most likely be vastly different from what we are building in this field today! 
After all, the reason why we are requiring quantum computers, which utilize entanglements and wave functions superposition, to attempt to reproduce the brain capabilities is that the brain itself functions at that scale.

In recent years, new theories of quantum gravity and the nature of forces and mass have emerged describing the energy levels of subatomic particles and forces in terms of pressure gradients in the flow of an underlying field of electromagnetic quantum vacuum fluctuations which can be described as a flow of information. 

These theoretical developments open a door to vast fields of investigations where the brain acts as an antenna tuned into this information flow emerging from the Planck scale of the quantum realm which is driven by a feedback mechanism between the electromagnetic field and the gravitational field of the atomic scale and eventually the biological scale. This feedback feed-forward of information could explain the rapid development of self-organizing systems we observe at the biological scale and the eventual emergence of self-awareness or consciousness from these complex biological structures.

The event of AI development and the interest in the associated fields that it is driving forward have the potential to resolve some of the largest and most important discoveries in human history. As for every groundbreaking technological development, it has the potential to be a great challenge for our civilization and our evolution! 
It is critical, at this time, to consider the ethical and legal ramification of these developments and the future of humanity in this context. 
Thibault Verbiest, in this work, provides remarkable clarity and synthesis, offering essential insights on key questions that should mark any in-depth study on the subject.



in, International Space Federation